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<p>[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2261847, member: 71510"]But the thing that nobody wants to spend the time looking for is - WHY.</p><p><br /></p><p>Why is there buying. Is it because it's theoretically low? Do investors think it's bottomed out? Is there unrest in the stock market? Is there political unrest in the world?</p><p><br /></p><p>Using the charts as a gauge, you also need to delve into WHY the charts are the way they are. What historic events took place that led to the lows and highs?</p><p><br /></p><p>The previous high a few years back was because of unrest and instability in real estate and a recently tanked stock market. And now this has reversed. The DJIA is up, real estate is up and there is relative calm....before the storm.</p><p><br /></p><p>I've said it numerous times. The DJIA peaked at 18.3k or so last May and dropped 3k. It's now back up and people are scrambling into cash. I've timed the market twice in the last year and done very well both times.</p><p><br /></p><p>Pay attention to the short coverings, stealth inflation (increased taxes and fees, healthcare costs adding to cost at cash register, minimum wage laws, dwindling unemployment numbers)real estate and of course a Lame Duck president. The election year will cause unrest in the markets - particularly healthcare, green energy and banking. </p><p><br /></p><p>You are already seeing a flight to safety. If you watch the financial channels, they have all been talking about moving to cash for the last 3 months. PM is another safe haven as markets go to turmoil.</p><p><br /></p><p>Sheep will always follow the herd. The smart ones head towards safety before the wolf arrives and stays out of the way of panic.</p><p><br /></p><p>Caveat Emptor[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2261847, member: 71510"]But the thing that nobody wants to spend the time looking for is - WHY. Why is there buying. Is it because it's theoretically low? Do investors think it's bottomed out? Is there unrest in the stock market? Is there political unrest in the world? Using the charts as a gauge, you also need to delve into WHY the charts are the way they are. What historic events took place that led to the lows and highs? The previous high a few years back was because of unrest and instability in real estate and a recently tanked stock market. And now this has reversed. The DJIA is up, real estate is up and there is relative calm....before the storm. I've said it numerous times. The DJIA peaked at 18.3k or so last May and dropped 3k. It's now back up and people are scrambling into cash. I've timed the market twice in the last year and done very well both times. Pay attention to the short coverings, stealth inflation (increased taxes and fees, healthcare costs adding to cost at cash register, minimum wage laws, dwindling unemployment numbers)real estate and of course a Lame Duck president. The election year will cause unrest in the markets - particularly healthcare, green energy and banking. You are already seeing a flight to safety. If you watch the financial channels, they have all been talking about moving to cash for the last 3 months. PM is another safe haven as markets go to turmoil. Sheep will always follow the herd. The smart ones head towards safety before the wolf arrives and stays out of the way of panic. Caveat Emptor[/QUOTE]
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