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<p>[QUOTE="PeacePeople, post: 2161628, member: 20082"]If there is or are no other alternatives that are poised to do well, doesn't that lead to the conclusion that the DOW is overbought? What happens when things get overbought, usually? What if they're ridiculously overbought?</p><p><br /></p><p>You're missing the point that is staring at you. Loose money was created to try to ease a financial crisis, and it did in the short term. You could also argue that it actually led to a recovery. The only problem with that, as I see it, is the loose money was used to cover for toxic assets that were in the system. The money to make those toxic assets "disappear" was given to the same institutions that created the toxic assets, basically rewarding bad behavior. It isn't too much of a leap to believe that those same institutions that were rewarded for creating a bad situation didn't go and do the same thing over. Why wouldn't they, they were rewarded handsomely for setting up a crisis. </p><p><br /></p><p>Here is my point. All of that loose money was given to those that created a bad situation. They weren't punished, they were rewarded. They now have all the liquidity they could ask for, they already know they won't be punished by creating a like situation, so why wouldn't they do it again? They did, trust me, and it will be paid for soon enough. Can you honestly tell me that the DOW from it's 14,000 back in 07, which I'm sure you'd agree was a bit inflated to it's 18,000 now is due to natural growth of the businesses that are included in the DOW, or is it just a place where a lot of that loose money is stashed? What about the other "assets" that some on here love to crow about? Are those just rising in value naturally, or is there something else causing them to rise?</p><p><br /></p><p>Some of you can crow about recovery all you want, I'm just going to state that there will be another financial crisis that will make 2008 look like a picnic. At that point, I'm sure you'll state that common sense is still the worst kind of sense to have.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="PeacePeople, post: 2161628, member: 20082"]If there is or are no other alternatives that are poised to do well, doesn't that lead to the conclusion that the DOW is overbought? What happens when things get overbought, usually? What if they're ridiculously overbought? You're missing the point that is staring at you. Loose money was created to try to ease a financial crisis, and it did in the short term. You could also argue that it actually led to a recovery. The only problem with that, as I see it, is the loose money was used to cover for toxic assets that were in the system. The money to make those toxic assets "disappear" was given to the same institutions that created the toxic assets, basically rewarding bad behavior. It isn't too much of a leap to believe that those same institutions that were rewarded for creating a bad situation didn't go and do the same thing over. Why wouldn't they, they were rewarded handsomely for setting up a crisis. Here is my point. All of that loose money was given to those that created a bad situation. They weren't punished, they were rewarded. They now have all the liquidity they could ask for, they already know they won't be punished by creating a like situation, so why wouldn't they do it again? They did, trust me, and it will be paid for soon enough. Can you honestly tell me that the DOW from it's 14,000 back in 07, which I'm sure you'd agree was a bit inflated to it's 18,000 now is due to natural growth of the businesses that are included in the DOW, or is it just a place where a lot of that loose money is stashed? What about the other "assets" that some on here love to crow about? Are those just rising in value naturally, or is there something else causing them to rise? Some of you can crow about recovery all you want, I'm just going to state that there will be another financial crisis that will make 2008 look like a picnic. At that point, I'm sure you'll state that common sense is still the worst kind of sense to have.[/QUOTE]
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