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<p>[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 2112496, member: 27832"]No, the idea is that the silver will <i>hold</i> its value, while the cash goes to zero.</p><p><br /></p><p>The problem I see is that people conflate "preserving $XXX of value" with "investing $XXX".</p><p><br /></p><p>So, if I'd tucked $1000 under my mattress in 1965, it would be worth $1000 now -- maybe a bit more to a collector of the proper coins or currency.</p><p><br /></p><p>If I'd tucked $1000 FV in silver under my mattress in 1965 (when it was still available at face value), it would be worth $12500 now. (It would've been worth over $30K at its peak in 1980 or 2011, less than $4000 throughout the 1990s.)</p><p><br /></p><p>If I'd tucked $1000 into something that tracked official inflation figures in 1965, it would be worth about $7500 now.</p><p><br /></p><p>If I'd tucked $1000 into something that tracked the S&P 500 in 1965, reinvesting dividends, it would be worth about $50K now.</p><p><br /></p><p>I tend to think more in terms of preparing for retirement, not preparing for catastrophe. I want my money to <i>grow</i>, so I can live comfortably in retirement and pass something along to my children.</p><p><br /></p><p>I suppose there are events that could make the US dollar worthless overnight. In that eventuality, the silver and gold I've collected might let me get some things that would otherwise be unavailable to me. Mostly, though, I think life after that event would be nasty, brutish, and short, no matter what "stuff" I may have on hand. The prospect of surviving in those conditions for five or ten years instead of one or two doesn't really motivate me very much. I plan instead for what I believe are more likely contingencies.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 2112496, member: 27832"]No, the idea is that the silver will [I]hold[/I] its value, while the cash goes to zero. The problem I see is that people conflate "preserving $XXX of value" with "investing $XXX". So, if I'd tucked $1000 under my mattress in 1965, it would be worth $1000 now -- maybe a bit more to a collector of the proper coins or currency. If I'd tucked $1000 FV in silver under my mattress in 1965 (when it was still available at face value), it would be worth $12500 now. (It would've been worth over $30K at its peak in 1980 or 2011, less than $4000 throughout the 1990s.) If I'd tucked $1000 into something that tracked official inflation figures in 1965, it would be worth about $7500 now. If I'd tucked $1000 into something that tracked the S&P 500 in 1965, reinvesting dividends, it would be worth about $50K now. I tend to think more in terms of preparing for retirement, not preparing for catastrophe. I want my money to [I]grow[/I], so I can live comfortably in retirement and pass something along to my children. I suppose there are events that could make the US dollar worthless overnight. In that eventuality, the silver and gold I've collected might let me get some things that would otherwise be unavailable to me. Mostly, though, I think life after that event would be nasty, brutish, and short, no matter what "stuff" I may have on hand. The prospect of surviving in those conditions for five or ten years instead of one or two doesn't really motivate me very much. I plan instead for what I believe are more likely contingencies.[/QUOTE]
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