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<p>[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 584900, member: 18021"]I spent some time on usgovernmentspending.com. You can make your own graphs for any time period, and I looked at each decade from 1800 to present (and projected to 2014). Cloud is correct, every decade showed increases in spending and national debt. There were 3 main "explosions" in national debt, the civil war, ww1, and ww2. The graphs show the debt jumping, then gradually get paid down somewhat, then back up. We still haven't paid for the civil war!</p><p><br /></p><p>The civil war, ww1, and ww2 didn't affect the price of gold, since we were on the gold standard. We won the war, we showed that we could make payments on our debt, and then we borrowed more. Now that we're off the gold standard, how do we show we can make payments on our debt? We keep the dollar strong. But the dollar isn't real like gold was. As long as everyone pretends its worth something, it stays somewhat strong. We have to keep everyone believing. </p><p><br /></p><p>But our economy is having bubbles. Its like squeezing a baloon, and making a bubble. You can squeeae that bubble, but another will pop up. Thats how our government, under both parties, has tried to deal with bubbles. Now that we can just print money, and not have to dig up gold, we have more tools to control bubbles. But I'm afraid these new tools may break the whole balloon. Once a run on the dollar starts, i.e. gold starts to bubble, there's no popping that bubble. </p><p><br /></p><p>I've tried to envision a way to prolong the black hole gold bubble. The Chi-Coms could tell us they'll back us a few trillion, if we give them amwar. What could we do if they pushed the point? That could buy us a couple of years.</p><p><br /></p><p>The last time we had a gold bubble was Jan, 1980. That was the end of the Carter administration. I think there are a lot of parallels with the current administration and Carter. I think its the prospect of 4 more years of the last 3 months, and Carter's legacy, that fuels the thought that the last bubble could repeat. The Carter administration saw gold go from $140, to over $800, and settle down at over $500. If Obama repeats, we'll see gold spike to $4000, and settle to $2500. I think its quite possible, (assuming there aren't any outside events that will cause gold to soar on their own).[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 584900, member: 18021"]I spent some time on usgovernmentspending.com. You can make your own graphs for any time period, and I looked at each decade from 1800 to present (and projected to 2014). Cloud is correct, every decade showed increases in spending and national debt. There were 3 main "explosions" in national debt, the civil war, ww1, and ww2. The graphs show the debt jumping, then gradually get paid down somewhat, then back up. We still haven't paid for the civil war! The civil war, ww1, and ww2 didn't affect the price of gold, since we were on the gold standard. We won the war, we showed that we could make payments on our debt, and then we borrowed more. Now that we're off the gold standard, how do we show we can make payments on our debt? We keep the dollar strong. But the dollar isn't real like gold was. As long as everyone pretends its worth something, it stays somewhat strong. We have to keep everyone believing. But our economy is having bubbles. Its like squeezing a baloon, and making a bubble. You can squeeae that bubble, but another will pop up. Thats how our government, under both parties, has tried to deal with bubbles. Now that we can just print money, and not have to dig up gold, we have more tools to control bubbles. But I'm afraid these new tools may break the whole balloon. Once a run on the dollar starts, i.e. gold starts to bubble, there's no popping that bubble. I've tried to envision a way to prolong the black hole gold bubble. The Chi-Coms could tell us they'll back us a few trillion, if we give them amwar. What could we do if they pushed the point? That could buy us a couple of years. The last time we had a gold bubble was Jan, 1980. That was the end of the Carter administration. I think there are a lot of parallels with the current administration and Carter. I think its the prospect of 4 more years of the last 3 months, and Carter's legacy, that fuels the thought that the last bubble could repeat. The Carter administration saw gold go from $140, to over $800, and settle down at over $500. If Obama repeats, we'll see gold spike to $4000, and settle to $2500. I think its quite possible, (assuming there aren't any outside events that will cause gold to soar on their own).[/QUOTE]
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