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<p>[QUOTE="Numbers, post: 1209096, member: 11668"]Okay, I'm finally starting to see what you mean by "debt" and "not debt". You're using these words in a way that doesn't agree with the dictionary, but we've been through that already. You're calling the USNs "not debt" because there's no requirement to pay them off, or make interest payments, <i>at any particular time</i>, unlike Treasury bonds which have a fixed maturity date. The dictionary still calls them "debt", but in this certain sense they don't create the "debt bondage" you were talking about.</p><p><br /></p><p>The USNs do still involve a lender (the public), a borrower (the Treasury), and an interest rate (zero is a perfectly legitimate number). But you're correct that they don't have a scheduled repayment. People are perfectly content to hold small quantities of zero-interest paper money <i>for convenience</i>, because it's easier to have a wallet full of paper than a pocket full of heavy silver dollars. As long as the total quantity of USNs in circulation stays reasonable (and as long as the people trust the government to *keep* it reasonable), there's unlikely to be any pressure to redeem them all quickly. (Historically, there *was* such pressure after the Civil War, but it can be considered the result of a lack of trust in the government's willingness and ability to keep the issue from getting too large. Once the Treasury had a few decades' track record of managing the money supply well, resistance to the USNs largely vanished.)</p><p><br /></p><p>But...none of that has any bearing on your larger point. First, in all of these respects, FRNs differ from USNs only in technical details. The government pays no interest to the bankers on the USNs, true. But for FRNs, the government pays interest only to the central bankers at the Fed--and that interest, as I explained above, becomes profit to the Fed, which is transferred to the U.S. Treasury. Paying interest to yourself is just as good as paying no interest.... Also, as you said, the USNs need not be redeemed or retired at any particular time. But the same is true of FRNs. And while the Treasury bonds which back the FRNs do have maturity dates, there's no doubt about the Treasury's ability to "roll over" these bonds when they mature, as the Fed will then need new bonds to back the existing FRNs. On the whole, the FRN-based system is exactly like the USN-based system, except with one additional layer of separation between the politicians in Congress and the day-to-day monetary policy. That layer is the whole point of the Federal Reserve--it serves as one more check to keep the politicians from succumbing to short-term self interest, and thus it helps to maintain the people's trust in the currency, which is vital to the stability of the whole system.</p><p><br /></p><p>Second, the need to keep the total value of outstanding USNs within reasonable limits, which you acknowledge, is precisely what prevents us from using USNs to pay off the (interest-bearing) debt. Under our present system, the quantity of FRNs in circulation is not decided by the Fed; it's decided by the individual private banks who daily order currency from the Fed to meet their needs, and return currency to the Fed when they have excess. Thus, the quantity of FRNs in circulation is exactly sufficient to meet the public's demand for zero-interest paper money. (Another benefit of the Fed system, by the way. In the old days, Congress decided how many USNs would be issued, and problems could arise if they willfully or inadvertently picked a number too high or too low.)</p><p><br /></p><p>What this means is that, if the Treasury started using USNs to pay off the debt, there'd be an excess of paper currency in circulation. The first $1T of the excess would be offset by the retirement of the FRNs. After that, we'd be stuck. The remaining $13T of interest-bearing debt couldn't be replaced by USNs without massively devaluing the USNs. This is the problem you're ignoring: there's a limit to deficit spending, and there's a limit to USN issues, but <i>those limits are not the same</i>. The government can get away with issuing far more interest-bearing Treasury bonds than zero-interest USNs, because the interest payments are what motivate investors (financial institutions, foreign nations, &c.) to want the bonds in the first place. From observing the current position, we can see that the market will bear at least $14T in Treasury bonds (possibly much more, though I wouldn't like to bet on it), but no more than about $1T in non-interest-bearing FRNs/USNs.</p><p><br /></p><p>We *may* be able to go deeper into (interest-bearing) debt without collapsing the whole system. We *may* be able to cut spending and/or raise taxes enough to pay off the (interest-bearing) debt without sinking the entire economy. We *certainly* can't replace the (interest-bearing) debt with zero-interest USNs (what you call "not debt") without destroying the value of the currency. Now do you see why people keep arguing against your plan?[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Numbers, post: 1209096, member: 11668"]Okay, I'm finally starting to see what you mean by "debt" and "not debt". You're using these words in a way that doesn't agree with the dictionary, but we've been through that already. You're calling the USNs "not debt" because there's no requirement to pay them off, or make interest payments, [I]at any particular time[/I], unlike Treasury bonds which have a fixed maturity date. The dictionary still calls them "debt", but in this certain sense they don't create the "debt bondage" you were talking about. The USNs do still involve a lender (the public), a borrower (the Treasury), and an interest rate (zero is a perfectly legitimate number). But you're correct that they don't have a scheduled repayment. People are perfectly content to hold small quantities of zero-interest paper money [I]for convenience[/I], because it's easier to have a wallet full of paper than a pocket full of heavy silver dollars. As long as the total quantity of USNs in circulation stays reasonable (and as long as the people trust the government to *keep* it reasonable), there's unlikely to be any pressure to redeem them all quickly. (Historically, there *was* such pressure after the Civil War, but it can be considered the result of a lack of trust in the government's willingness and ability to keep the issue from getting too large. Once the Treasury had a few decades' track record of managing the money supply well, resistance to the USNs largely vanished.) But...none of that has any bearing on your larger point. First, in all of these respects, FRNs differ from USNs only in technical details. The government pays no interest to the bankers on the USNs, true. But for FRNs, the government pays interest only to the central bankers at the Fed--and that interest, as I explained above, becomes profit to the Fed, which is transferred to the U.S. Treasury. Paying interest to yourself is just as good as paying no interest.... Also, as you said, the USNs need not be redeemed or retired at any particular time. But the same is true of FRNs. And while the Treasury bonds which back the FRNs do have maturity dates, there's no doubt about the Treasury's ability to "roll over" these bonds when they mature, as the Fed will then need new bonds to back the existing FRNs. On the whole, the FRN-based system is exactly like the USN-based system, except with one additional layer of separation between the politicians in Congress and the day-to-day monetary policy. That layer is the whole point of the Federal Reserve--it serves as one more check to keep the politicians from succumbing to short-term self interest, and thus it helps to maintain the people's trust in the currency, which is vital to the stability of the whole system. Second, the need to keep the total value of outstanding USNs within reasonable limits, which you acknowledge, is precisely what prevents us from using USNs to pay off the (interest-bearing) debt. Under our present system, the quantity of FRNs in circulation is not decided by the Fed; it's decided by the individual private banks who daily order currency from the Fed to meet their needs, and return currency to the Fed when they have excess. Thus, the quantity of FRNs in circulation is exactly sufficient to meet the public's demand for zero-interest paper money. (Another benefit of the Fed system, by the way. In the old days, Congress decided how many USNs would be issued, and problems could arise if they willfully or inadvertently picked a number too high or too low.) What this means is that, if the Treasury started using USNs to pay off the debt, there'd be an excess of paper currency in circulation. The first $1T of the excess would be offset by the retirement of the FRNs. After that, we'd be stuck. The remaining $13T of interest-bearing debt couldn't be replaced by USNs without massively devaluing the USNs. This is the problem you're ignoring: there's a limit to deficit spending, and there's a limit to USN issues, but [I]those limits are not the same[/I]. The government can get away with issuing far more interest-bearing Treasury bonds than zero-interest USNs, because the interest payments are what motivate investors (financial institutions, foreign nations, &c.) to want the bonds in the first place. From observing the current position, we can see that the market will bear at least $14T in Treasury bonds (possibly much more, though I wouldn't like to bet on it), but no more than about $1T in non-interest-bearing FRNs/USNs. We *may* be able to go deeper into (interest-bearing) debt without collapsing the whole system. We *may* be able to cut spending and/or raise taxes enough to pay off the (interest-bearing) debt without sinking the entire economy. We *certainly* can't replace the (interest-bearing) debt with zero-interest USNs (what you call "not debt") without destroying the value of the currency. Now do you see why people keep arguing against your plan?[/QUOTE]
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