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How will less mfg affect silver price in a major crash??
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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 966244, member: 3011"]I'm not an industry insider, but 5 or 6 years ago there were large draw-downs in silver inventories to fill the gap between production and consumption. When economic activity recovers, this will happen again until the available inventories are depleted. Then, the price will have to rise to bring more metal out of hiding. Ted Butler has written a series of articles explaining how huge concentrated short positions in the silver futures market kept the price from rising even more than it did during the inventory draw-downs, but I have no way to know if his analysis is accurate, although it fits what happened in reality.</p><p><br /></p><p>To answer the OP, I think silver would go down in a MAJOR economic crash [which presumably means one greater than what we just had] unless there is significant inflation to attract precious metal investors seeking a safe haven. It isn't easy to predict, but that is my expectation.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 966244, member: 3011"]I'm not an industry insider, but 5 or 6 years ago there were large draw-downs in silver inventories to fill the gap between production and consumption. When economic activity recovers, this will happen again until the available inventories are depleted. Then, the price will have to rise to bring more metal out of hiding. Ted Butler has written a series of articles explaining how huge concentrated short positions in the silver futures market kept the price from rising even more than it did during the inventory draw-downs, but I have no way to know if his analysis is accurate, although it fits what happened in reality. To answer the OP, I think silver would go down in a MAJOR economic crash [which presumably means one greater than what we just had] unless there is significant inflation to attract precious metal investors seeking a safe haven. It isn't easy to predict, but that is my expectation.[/QUOTE]
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