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<p>[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 26740631, member: 41780"]Right now there appears to be disagreement at high levels as to whether and when the tankers can be escorted through the Strait of Hormuz, according to CNBC. I have a feeling U.S. ships will be very vulnerable, and if traffic is to reach pre-blockade levels, providing escorts will be a logistical nightmare and potentially infeasible. This makes me think the war was not very well-planned and was rather begun impulsively. Because Iran appears unwilling to budge as it seems clear the goal is regime-change - and potentially death or imprisonment for the leadership - this leads me to believe there will be boots on the ground. I'm not sure the Kurdish fighters - if they join - will be sufficient to topple the regime. However, without oil revenues and with a blockade, I'm guessing Iran faces the possibility of total collapse. I'm not sure how much willpower the people have to defend their leaders. It seems to me this whole thing was a roll of the dice in a high-stakes game. We know Iran has been preparing for this. Again, all of this bodes well for precious metals.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 26740631, member: 41780"]Right now there appears to be disagreement at high levels as to whether and when the tankers can be escorted through the Strait of Hormuz, according to CNBC. I have a feeling U.S. ships will be very vulnerable, and if traffic is to reach pre-blockade levels, providing escorts will be a logistical nightmare and potentially infeasible. This makes me think the war was not very well-planned and was rather begun impulsively. Because Iran appears unwilling to budge as it seems clear the goal is regime-change - and potentially death or imprisonment for the leadership - this leads me to believe there will be boots on the ground. I'm not sure the Kurdish fighters - if they join - will be sufficient to topple the regime. However, without oil revenues and with a blockade, I'm guessing Iran faces the possibility of total collapse. I'm not sure how much willpower the people have to defend their leaders. It seems to me this whole thing was a roll of the dice in a high-stakes game. We know Iran has been preparing for this. Again, all of this bodes well for precious metals.[/QUOTE]
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