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<p>[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1734645, member: 30574"]Well, I have said, I cannot argue with some DCA here. </p><p><br /></p><p>My point is though there may very well be a better play here. As many have mentioned, nobody "knows" were the price is truly going especially in the short term. Chris just made a post stressing this. I agree. What I think folks miss though, is it is certainly not a crapshoot or a coin toss either. From all the info I have available to me right now, I believe that ODDS of silver going down are higher than the odds of silver going. To take it further, I think the ODDS of a big spike are unlikley, yet the ODDS of a big drop are likley.</p><p><br /></p><p>So for me, it is being on the correct side of the odds, so I will wait until I feel the ODDS are in favor of a rise. Given current economic conditions, I don't think we are there.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now to answer your question about what if things shake out and Silver goes to 33? Well, you can't win them all, and the great thing about playing the odds are, you don't need to win them all. In addition the money not spent on Ag will probably have went to buying a little Vanguard PrimeCAP, and maybe that might pan out as well.</p><p><br /></p><p>We will know more in three months <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1734645, member: 30574"]Well, I have said, I cannot argue with some DCA here. My point is though there may very well be a better play here. As many have mentioned, nobody "knows" were the price is truly going especially in the short term. Chris just made a post stressing this. I agree. What I think folks miss though, is it is certainly not a crapshoot or a coin toss either. From all the info I have available to me right now, I believe that ODDS of silver going down are higher than the odds of silver going. To take it further, I think the ODDS of a big spike are unlikley, yet the ODDS of a big drop are likley. So for me, it is being on the correct side of the odds, so I will wait until I feel the ODDS are in favor of a rise. Given current economic conditions, I don't think we are there. Now to answer your question about what if things shake out and Silver goes to 33? Well, you can't win them all, and the great thing about playing the odds are, you don't need to win them all. In addition the money not spent on Ag will probably have went to buying a little Vanguard PrimeCAP, and maybe that might pan out as well. We will know more in three months :)[/QUOTE]
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