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<p>[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1715517, member: 41780"]Thanks. I have been studying economics and learning as much as I can since I began my interest in the silver market, and lately I have been learning the mechanics of the forex market to broaden my economic view. While I'm no expert, I believe those who understand the fundamentals of the currency market can see things going on that others cannot see regarding silver. One notable phenomenon as of late is the strengthening of the dollar relative to other currencies, and this has coincided with the drop in precious metals. So silver can be seen as trading inversely to the dollar, and, though that inverse correlation is not perfect, it is visible. Likewise, <i>future expectations</i> about the dollar will influence silver. </p><p><br /></p><p>I pointed out in another thread that a strong currency is dangerous in today's environment, and that was met with some skepticism by some numismatists who are bullish on stocks and the economy. Yet virtually all major industrialized countries are cheapening their currencies to compete in the global marketplace. In his latest speech, Bernanke also addressed deflationary concerns with the CPI, and emphasized, in his own way, a strong dollar will be met with more easing to fight deflation. Temporarily, the monetary easing by other nations can boost the dollar given its reserve currency status. </p><p><br /></p><p>I was pleased that Jim Rickards also agrees with my view:</p><p><br /></p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-r0uXX4gX9Y" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-r0uXX4gX9Y" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-r0uXX4gX9Y</a> (skip to 12:05 to get to the interview with him)</p><p><br /></p><p>While I will acknowledge that silver has taken a beating, and that the permabulls have been <i>dead wrong, </i>and that even I have been dead wrong in my assumptions about the strength of silver as an investment, I'm not convinced that the anti-silver bugs appreciate just how fragile the global economy is right now, or <i>even some of the major forces driving down the price of silver</i>. Hey, I could be wrong and the stock market may continue to give them more gains, but I have a feeling we are in for another crash within the next few years, if not imminently. Sure, there may not be the utter chaos that some people think will arise, but the stock and possibly the bond market will take a severe beating sooner than many realize.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1715517, member: 41780"]Thanks. I have been studying economics and learning as much as I can since I began my interest in the silver market, and lately I have been learning the mechanics of the forex market to broaden my economic view. While I'm no expert, I believe those who understand the fundamentals of the currency market can see things going on that others cannot see regarding silver. One notable phenomenon as of late is the strengthening of the dollar relative to other currencies, and this has coincided with the drop in precious metals. So silver can be seen as trading inversely to the dollar, and, though that inverse correlation is not perfect, it is visible. Likewise, [I]future expectations[/I] about the dollar will influence silver. I pointed out in another thread that a strong currency is dangerous in today's environment, and that was met with some skepticism by some numismatists who are bullish on stocks and the economy. Yet virtually all major industrialized countries are cheapening their currencies to compete in the global marketplace. In his latest speech, Bernanke also addressed deflationary concerns with the CPI, and emphasized, in his own way, a strong dollar will be met with more easing to fight deflation. Temporarily, the monetary easing by other nations can boost the dollar given its reserve currency status. I was pleased that Jim Rickards also agrees with my view: [URL]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=-r0uXX4gX9Y[/URL] (skip to 12:05 to get to the interview with him) While I will acknowledge that silver has taken a beating, and that the permabulls have been [I]dead wrong, [/I]and that even I have been dead wrong in my assumptions about the strength of silver as an investment, I'm not convinced that the anti-silver bugs appreciate just how fragile the global economy is right now, or [I]even some of the major forces driving down the price of silver[/I]. Hey, I could be wrong and the stock market may continue to give them more gains, but I have a feeling we are in for another crash within the next few years, if not imminently. Sure, there may not be the utter chaos that some people think will arise, but the stock and possibly the bond market will take a severe beating sooner than many realize.[/QUOTE]
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