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<p>[QUOTE="GeorgeM, post: 1251218, member: 28550"]Care to explain?</p><p><br /></p><p>If the money supply stays the same and the supply of items declines, what do you think will happen to prices? In other words, if the price of a loaf of bread goes from 1 denari to 2 denari, that's inflation (and I think anyone else reading this gets that pretty clearly because they know what inflation means and you're using a circular definition). </p><p><br /></p><p>Inflation is defined as the process by which they buying power of money is reduced over time. I agree with you that printing large amounts of currency while the economy stays the same size (or even grows at a slower rate than the money supply grows) can cause inflation. But, that's only one way that inflation occurs.</p><p><br /></p><p>In the modern era, we have a lot of things going on that are deflationary by nature. Technology and applied knowledge are deflationary in nature - just look at the cost of a 33 mhz computer from 1995 to 2010 (my first PC had less computing power than the average cell phone does today). Likewise, the average acre of corn yields about 300% what it did a century ago (or more). For the same inputs (labor, capital, land), we're able to produce larger outputs. This is defined as efficiency. As efficiency grows, price of output tends to decline (but not always: there are depletable resources like oil that illustrate that pretty clearly). </p><p><br /></p><p>Let's look at another example. You live on an island with 5 people. There's no trade with the outside world, but your community uses a stash of 1,000 gold coins to transact daily business. Your neighbor Bob raises corn and other crops, your neighbor Tim is the barber/dentist/doctor, your neighbor Sue brews whiskey, your neighbor Janet raises pigs and provides entertainment, and you do all the odd jobs that the others can't. One day, you're digging in your yard and find another 1,000 gold coins (doubling the money supply). What will be the result on prices on the island? </p><p><br /></p><p>This is essentially what happened in boomtowns in the American West during the Gold Rush and in Spain in the 2 centuries after the conquest of the New World. The money supply increased faster than the supply of goods in the economy. Presto, whamo, inflation occurred (even with a non-fiat currency).[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GeorgeM, post: 1251218, member: 28550"]Care to explain? If the money supply stays the same and the supply of items declines, what do you think will happen to prices? In other words, if the price of a loaf of bread goes from 1 denari to 2 denari, that's inflation (and I think anyone else reading this gets that pretty clearly because they know what inflation means and you're using a circular definition). Inflation is defined as the process by which they buying power of money is reduced over time. I agree with you that printing large amounts of currency while the economy stays the same size (or even grows at a slower rate than the money supply grows) can cause inflation. But, that's only one way that inflation occurs. In the modern era, we have a lot of things going on that are deflationary by nature. Technology and applied knowledge are deflationary in nature - just look at the cost of a 33 mhz computer from 1995 to 2010 (my first PC had less computing power than the average cell phone does today). Likewise, the average acre of corn yields about 300% what it did a century ago (or more). For the same inputs (labor, capital, land), we're able to produce larger outputs. This is defined as efficiency. As efficiency grows, price of output tends to decline (but not always: there are depletable resources like oil that illustrate that pretty clearly). Let's look at another example. You live on an island with 5 people. There's no trade with the outside world, but your community uses a stash of 1,000 gold coins to transact daily business. Your neighbor Bob raises corn and other crops, your neighbor Tim is the barber/dentist/doctor, your neighbor Sue brews whiskey, your neighbor Janet raises pigs and provides entertainment, and you do all the odd jobs that the others can't. One day, you're digging in your yard and find another 1,000 gold coins (doubling the money supply). What will be the result on prices on the island? This is essentially what happened in boomtowns in the American West during the Gold Rush and in Spain in the 2 centuries after the conquest of the New World. The money supply increased faster than the supply of goods in the economy. Presto, whamo, inflation occurred (even with a non-fiat currency).[/QUOTE]
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