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<p>[QUOTE="Vess1, post: 1250701, member: 13650"]Well, either they ignored it or nobody disagreed. The easy way to look at it is what would you have rather had a relative do in 1976? Should they have stuck their $100 bill in an envelope to save for you to use today? Or would you rather have had them by an ounce of gold then and stash it? Because a $100 bill back then could still be used today. They're physically the same. An ounce of gold is the same as it was back then too. </p><p><br /></p><p>The 1976 $100 bill may or may not fill the gas tank of a large SUV today. While an ounce of gold purchased back then with that $100,could fill the tank 18 times now. It could have been invested in the stock market too but it's not immune from long term problems. </p><p><br /></p><p> The same people who will argue that gold was flat for years, won't acknowledge that the DOW has now been flat for over a decade (a lost decade) with no relief in sight. The dow was over 11k in Oct. 1999. And there's been a lot of shady business just to keep the number up to where it's at now. (Stocks crashing to nothing get pulled, and then are replaced with new companies with value to prop the number back up.) Not to mention all the baby boomers who made real money over their lives are now cashing out and I'm doubting there's an equal number of people available to buy up what they're cashing out these days. Considering 20% of the population is unemployed wondering where their next meal is coming from. They're not buying shares. Many are probably living off old money.</p><p><br /></p><p> Don't feel bad about having some cash stored for an emergency fund though. It's still the medium of exchange for now. You don't want to have to cash things out and have to convert every time you need some extra. It's just a matter of how much you want sitting there and what's happening to it over a period of years compared to what it could be doing. </p><p><br /></p><p> It might be very risky to buy in at these new found highs at the top of a new, vertical peak. I would think many people would wait to see some pull back before trusting the new highs. Gold is up about $190 in one week. It's hard even for me to believe that there could be this much demand. </p><p><br /></p><p> You also have to realize though, that as the years go by, more and more is being mined and more and more people are hoarding and stock piling. As someone else said, if ANYTHING else could present itself as a ground level buy opportunity with realistic looking gains, there could be a whole lot of PMs that get dumped back on to the market all at once and in a hurry. It will probably happen eventually. Then everybody will be wondering where the bottom is and it could be ugly. Nothing is certain.</p><p><br /></p><p> I do listen to the goldline podcast and there were many independent (of the program) analysts predicting in January that $2000 to $2500 gold would be likely by the end of the year. It's looking like they were spot on. Seems like it was just yesterday people were laughing at the $1000 level as being a bubble. Things are not well when you see gold behaving like it is.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Vess1, post: 1250701, member: 13650"]Well, either they ignored it or nobody disagreed. The easy way to look at it is what would you have rather had a relative do in 1976? Should they have stuck their $100 bill in an envelope to save for you to use today? Or would you rather have had them by an ounce of gold then and stash it? Because a $100 bill back then could still be used today. They're physically the same. An ounce of gold is the same as it was back then too. The 1976 $100 bill may or may not fill the gas tank of a large SUV today. While an ounce of gold purchased back then with that $100,could fill the tank 18 times now. It could have been invested in the stock market too but it's not immune from long term problems. The same people who will argue that gold was flat for years, won't acknowledge that the DOW has now been flat for over a decade (a lost decade) with no relief in sight. The dow was over 11k in Oct. 1999. And there's been a lot of shady business just to keep the number up to where it's at now. (Stocks crashing to nothing get pulled, and then are replaced with new companies with value to prop the number back up.) Not to mention all the baby boomers who made real money over their lives are now cashing out and I'm doubting there's an equal number of people available to buy up what they're cashing out these days. Considering 20% of the population is unemployed wondering where their next meal is coming from. They're not buying shares. Many are probably living off old money. Don't feel bad about having some cash stored for an emergency fund though. It's still the medium of exchange for now. You don't want to have to cash things out and have to convert every time you need some extra. It's just a matter of how much you want sitting there and what's happening to it over a period of years compared to what it could be doing. It might be very risky to buy in at these new found highs at the top of a new, vertical peak. I would think many people would wait to see some pull back before trusting the new highs. Gold is up about $190 in one week. It's hard even for me to believe that there could be this much demand. You also have to realize though, that as the years go by, more and more is being mined and more and more people are hoarding and stock piling. As someone else said, if ANYTHING else could present itself as a ground level buy opportunity with realistic looking gains, there could be a whole lot of PMs that get dumped back on to the market all at once and in a hurry. It will probably happen eventually. Then everybody will be wondering where the bottom is and it could be ugly. Nothing is certain. I do listen to the goldline podcast and there were many independent (of the program) analysts predicting in January that $2000 to $2500 gold would be likely by the end of the year. It's looking like they were spot on. Seems like it was just yesterday people were laughing at the $1000 level as being a bubble. Things are not well when you see gold behaving like it is.[/QUOTE]
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