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how big will the 2009 gold bust be?
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<p>[QUOTE="maksimfa, post: 535886, member: 17157"]update from today's investment newsletter.</p><p> </p><p><font face="Arial"><font size="2"><p style="text-align: left">Turning to gold, we were fortunate to recommend…</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">rather strongly we think, for we highlighted the idea in</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">yellow in yesterday’s text and then reiterated it strongly</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">in the “Recommendation” section of our commentary.</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">We were… and we are… fearful that the public is</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">rather aggressively long of gold and that the margin</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">clerks are in control as they issue liquidation orders to</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">sell anything and everything. Gold, having rallied, was</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">one obvious place that liquidity and profits could be</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">taken, and so gold became… at least to us… a rather</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">obvious target for selling. It remains a target this</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">morning, and we fear that the uptrend on the short</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">term charts (the hourly one, for those who are</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">interested) is more and more vulnerable to the</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">downside, rather than less and less. The simple fact is</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">that the bull run that began in mid-January at or very</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">near to $800/oz, became egregiously over-bought as</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">spot gold approached, and finally broke through,</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">$1000. A mere correction back into “The Box” which</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">marks the 50-62% retracement of that bull run shall</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">take spot gold back down to the $880-905 area. That</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">shall be our target on the downside, and it is where we</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">shall return as aggressive buyers of gold. By then, the</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">public’s love affair with gold shall have had its passion</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">dulled… perhaps greatly. By then, relative health will</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">have been restored to the market as the late bulls are</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">shaken from their positions. Patience… patience</p></font></font></p><p style="text-align: left"><font face="Arial"><font size="2">everyone; patience.</p><p></font></font>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="maksimfa, post: 535886, member: 17157"]update from today's investment newsletter. [FONT=Arial][SIZE=2][LEFT]Turning to gold, we were fortunate to recommend… rather strongly we think, for we highlighted the idea in yellow in yesterday’s text and then reiterated it strongly in the “Recommendation” section of our commentary. We were… and we are… fearful that the public is rather aggressively long of gold and that the margin clerks are in control as they issue liquidation orders to sell anything and everything. Gold, having rallied, was one obvious place that liquidity and profits could be taken, and so gold became… at least to us… a rather obvious target for selling. It remains a target this morning, and we fear that the uptrend on the short term charts (the hourly one, for those who are interested) is more and more vulnerable to the downside, rather than less and less. The simple fact is that the bull run that began in mid-January at or very near to $800/oz, became egregiously over-bought as spot gold approached, and finally broke through, $1000. A mere correction back into “The Box” which marks the 50-62% retracement of that bull run shall take spot gold back down to the $880-905 area. That shall be our target on the downside, and it is where we shall return as aggressive buyers of gold. By then, the public’s love affair with gold shall have had its passion dulled… perhaps greatly. By then, relative health will have been restored to the market as the late bulls are shaken from their positions. Patience… patience everyone; patience.[/LEFT] [/SIZE][/FONT][/QUOTE]
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