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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1689736, member: 6492"]Hi folks,</p><p><br /></p><p>There will be some natural premium appreciation in any down market like the one we're in now. However, what we're looking for is an abnormal divergence between the paper price and the physical price. Econ 101 supply/demand curves good people. When you have price controls or artificial pricing, supply will disappear OR you'll get price adjustments in the form of premium, markup, vigorish, blackmarket, etc. that make up the difference in the eyes of the seller. </p><p><br /></p><p>This is what happend with Nixon's gasoline price controls - every service station just ran out. feh, it's the same today with credit. The price of money, or interest rate, is being kept artificially low by the Federal Reserve. It's lower than bankers think it should be and therefore they don't have any money to lend. You want a 30 year fixed at 3.5%. Sorry, I'm out of money. You want to pay 5-6% and maybe I can scrape some together. Er, this is called a Liquidity Trap and is partially to blame for the lack of inflation as it means to that the velocity of money is around . . . ah, zero. if it doesn't move around, inflation can't get passed on. </p><p><br /></p><p>Anywho, with regard to bullion, we'll have to watch premiums to see if they grown to much AND we'll have to watch availability and vendors posting the Out of Stock sign. </p><p><br /></p><p>and I was buying a wee bit of silver today from apmex.</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1689736, member: 6492"]Hi folks, There will be some natural premium appreciation in any down market like the one we're in now. However, what we're looking for is an abnormal divergence between the paper price and the physical price. Econ 101 supply/demand curves good people. When you have price controls or artificial pricing, supply will disappear OR you'll get price adjustments in the form of premium, markup, vigorish, blackmarket, etc. that make up the difference in the eyes of the seller. This is what happend with Nixon's gasoline price controls - every service station just ran out. feh, it's the same today with credit. The price of money, or interest rate, is being kept artificially low by the Federal Reserve. It's lower than bankers think it should be and therefore they don't have any money to lend. You want a 30 year fixed at 3.5%. Sorry, I'm out of money. You want to pay 5-6% and maybe I can scrape some together. Er, this is called a Liquidity Trap and is partially to blame for the lack of inflation as it means to that the velocity of money is around . . . ah, zero. if it doesn't move around, inflation can't get passed on. Anywho, with regard to bullion, we'll have to watch premiums to see if they grown to much AND we'll have to watch availability and vendors posting the Out of Stock sign. and I was buying a wee bit of silver today from apmex. peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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