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<p>[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 1225551, member: 18157"]I agree that "rising interest rates" is a low probability given the current administration and where we are in the election cycle. However, if both the Dems and Repubs don't completely marginalize the Tea Party movement, there's a chance the economy may finally get back on track. After all, you can only marginalize "Common Sense" for so long.</p><p><br /></p><p>As for bonds, I don't see a lotta people clamoring to buy 1% CDs at my bank. Now if you offer them 3%-4%, things may be a bit different. As long as the FED continues a policy of Quantitative Easing (aka...taxation without representation), interest rates will remain low and the debasement of the dollar will continue to push PM prices higher.</p><p><br /></p><p>It's more the fear of rising interest rates rather than the actual fact that keeps some bond investors on the sidelines (who wants to be first in line to catch the inevitable "falling knife"). However, once the knife hits the floor, investors will fall over themselves to pick it up...that's a fact. Then we'll have investors funding the bond market and not the US taxpayer.</p><p><br /></p><p>Additionally, rising interest rates don't deter most bond investors. Most bond investors are in the market for the long haul and employ strategies that are effective in any interest rate environment. Some bond instrument are little affected by interest rate moves such as zero coupon bonds. After all, your principle is always returned if you hold a bond to maturity.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 1225551, member: 18157"]I agree that "rising interest rates" is a low probability given the current administration and where we are in the election cycle. However, if both the Dems and Repubs don't completely marginalize the Tea Party movement, there's a chance the economy may finally get back on track. After all, you can only marginalize "Common Sense" for so long. As for bonds, I don't see a lotta people clamoring to buy 1% CDs at my bank. Now if you offer them 3%-4%, things may be a bit different. As long as the FED continues a policy of Quantitative Easing (aka...taxation without representation), interest rates will remain low and the debasement of the dollar will continue to push PM prices higher. It's more the fear of rising interest rates rather than the actual fact that keeps some bond investors on the sidelines (who wants to be first in line to catch the inevitable "falling knife"). However, once the knife hits the floor, investors will fall over themselves to pick it up...that's a fact. Then we'll have investors funding the bond market and not the US taxpayer. Additionally, rising interest rates don't deter most bond investors. Most bond investors are in the market for the long haul and employ strategies that are effective in any interest rate environment. Some bond instrument are little affected by interest rate moves such as zero coupon bonds. After all, your principle is always returned if you hold a bond to maturity.[/QUOTE]
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