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Gold will go down to $700 in the next 5 years?
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<p>[QUOTE="NorthKorea, post: 1556811, member: 29643"]Wouldn't the stock market be a perfect example of a negative sum game? Transaction costs affect both sides of the trade, which would create a negative expected value relative to the zero sum definition...</p><p><br /></p><p>Also, while a single trade (ex expenses) in equities is a zero sum game, I think most people view it in the same vein as a fixed security. Yes, the two aren't remotely comparable, but to the average investor/saver, the bottom line is whether it's worth more in "X" years than it was "Y" years ago. By that definition, the equities market is anything but zero-sum.</p><p><br /></p><p>Lastly, there technically IS a house in the stock market. Brokerages are allowed to lend shares to cover short trading out of client accounts. That, coupled with the interest rates structure of short-selling, makes the brokerage effectively a "house." The inclusion of options into the definition of an equities market would further include market makers into the concept of a house.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="NorthKorea, post: 1556811, member: 29643"]Wouldn't the stock market be a perfect example of a negative sum game? Transaction costs affect both sides of the trade, which would create a negative expected value relative to the zero sum definition... Also, while a single trade (ex expenses) in equities is a zero sum game, I think most people view it in the same vein as a fixed security. Yes, the two aren't remotely comparable, but to the average investor/saver, the bottom line is whether it's worth more in "X" years than it was "Y" years ago. By that definition, the equities market is anything but zero-sum. Lastly, there technically IS a house in the stock market. Brokerages are allowed to lend shares to cover short trading out of client accounts. That, coupled with the interest rates structure of short-selling, makes the brokerage effectively a "house." The inclusion of options into the definition of an equities market would further include market makers into the concept of a house.[/QUOTE]
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