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Gold will go down to $700 in the next 5 years?
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<p>[QUOTE="fatima, post: 1555704, member: 22143"]Your analysis is incorrect because Qualitative Easing is not the act of printing money to buy assets. That is Quantitative Easing. The Fed is simultaneously participating in both activities. The Qualitative Easing part is what they then do with those assets once they are acquired. This is the part that most people don't understand because it's complicated and requires a thorough understanding of the differences and roles of base money versus circulating money. </p><p><br /></p><p>Remember, The Federal Reserve wants to increase the amount of cash in the real world (circulating money) but which it has little power to do directly beyond lowering interest rates. However once those rates hit 0 it's left with no options. You can make a loan 0% but if there are no customers, it doesn't matter. The Fed has to find other ways to get money into the economy and that is where Qualitative Easing enters the picture. </p><p><br /></p><p>Qualitative Easing - literal meaning = lower the quality. Hence by lowering the "quality" of money people will demand more of it. (or so the insane Japanese theory goes) They do this by taking the base money asset created by Quantative Easing (growing the balance sheet) and then using a complicated set of schemes to essentially make debt interest negative. i.e. You take out a loan for $100 and you end up with $105 when its said and done. Of course at the individual level, this doesn't happen.</p><p><br /></p><p>Where the scheme fails and why it hasn't worked in Japan in close to 2 decades, is that all of this money ends up in in creating other paper profits and doesn't do anything to stimulate the real economy. In fact it hampers it even more as companies who are making profits through the equities market see little need to invest in real work. </p><p><br /></p><p>Gold won't be going down since they can never de-leverage this mess. It's a one way street where turning back is too painful to endure but where there is nothing but an cliff at the other end.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="fatima, post: 1555704, member: 22143"]Your analysis is incorrect because Qualitative Easing is not the act of printing money to buy assets. That is Quantitative Easing. The Fed is simultaneously participating in both activities. The Qualitative Easing part is what they then do with those assets once they are acquired. This is the part that most people don't understand because it's complicated and requires a thorough understanding of the differences and roles of base money versus circulating money. Remember, The Federal Reserve wants to increase the amount of cash in the real world (circulating money) but which it has little power to do directly beyond lowering interest rates. However once those rates hit 0 it's left with no options. You can make a loan 0% but if there are no customers, it doesn't matter. The Fed has to find other ways to get money into the economy and that is where Qualitative Easing enters the picture. Qualitative Easing - literal meaning = lower the quality. Hence by lowering the "quality" of money people will demand more of it. (or so the insane Japanese theory goes) They do this by taking the base money asset created by Quantative Easing (growing the balance sheet) and then using a complicated set of schemes to essentially make debt interest negative. i.e. You take out a loan for $100 and you end up with $105 when its said and done. Of course at the individual level, this doesn't happen. Where the scheme fails and why it hasn't worked in Japan in close to 2 decades, is that all of this money ends up in in creating other paper profits and doesn't do anything to stimulate the real economy. In fact it hampers it even more as companies who are making profits through the equities market see little need to invest in real work. Gold won't be going down since they can never de-leverage this mess. It's a one way street where turning back is too painful to endure but where there is nothing but an cliff at the other end.[/QUOTE]
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