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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1236520, member: 26302"]I hear people say this, that gold is at an all time high but silver is not. I believe both are in nominal dollars if you agree that the Hunt's actions were an attempt to corner, and the price achieved was not a long term supply-demand price but a market aberration that lasted only a few days. To me silver peaked around $35 in 1980 absent that, so I say we are still in a nominal dollar high for long term demand.</p><p><br /></p><p>OP has points for silver, but there are equally strong points for gold. I was just talking to a chemist Saturday who works on circuit boards about how gold has made a very strong comeback on them due to anti-lead provisions. I am not saying gold has a lot of industrial demand, and am not a gold bug, but always remember there is just something weird with human emotions and gold, and gold is much rare than silver. I have always been a silver lover myself, my stockpile of PM attests to that, but I do not love it so much I would only invest in it for all of my PM purchases.</p><p><br /></p><p>In securities, there is alpha risk and beta risk. Alpha is the risk specific to a stock, like if there is a fire in that companies plant, or an Enron situation. Beta is market risk, meaning the whole market going up or down. Beta cannot be avoided much, but alpha risk should be blended away by holding multiple securities. I say the same should be done with PM, hold many of them on the chance one may go up or down disproportionately.</p><p><br /></p><p>To the OP, the reason to hold PM is not a doomsday scenario, but rather the more pedestrian reason of protecting versus currency devaluation. In a doomsday scenario you want farmland, seeds, bottled water, canned food and guns. ANy PM is worthless. For a more likely scenario of high inflation or dollar devaluation, PM can protect the real purchasing power of your portfolio.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1236520, member: 26302"]I hear people say this, that gold is at an all time high but silver is not. I believe both are in nominal dollars if you agree that the Hunt's actions were an attempt to corner, and the price achieved was not a long term supply-demand price but a market aberration that lasted only a few days. To me silver peaked around $35 in 1980 absent that, so I say we are still in a nominal dollar high for long term demand. OP has points for silver, but there are equally strong points for gold. I was just talking to a chemist Saturday who works on circuit boards about how gold has made a very strong comeback on them due to anti-lead provisions. I am not saying gold has a lot of industrial demand, and am not a gold bug, but always remember there is just something weird with human emotions and gold, and gold is much rare than silver. I have always been a silver lover myself, my stockpile of PM attests to that, but I do not love it so much I would only invest in it for all of my PM purchases. In securities, there is alpha risk and beta risk. Alpha is the risk specific to a stock, like if there is a fire in that companies plant, or an Enron situation. Beta is market risk, meaning the whole market going up or down. Beta cannot be avoided much, but alpha risk should be blended away by holding multiple securities. I say the same should be done with PM, hold many of them on the chance one may go up or down disproportionately. To the OP, the reason to hold PM is not a doomsday scenario, but rather the more pedestrian reason of protecting versus currency devaluation. In a doomsday scenario you want farmland, seeds, bottled water, canned food and guns. ANy PM is worthless. For a more likely scenario of high inflation or dollar devaluation, PM can protect the real purchasing power of your portfolio.[/QUOTE]
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