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<p>[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2233462, member: 71510"]I think we saw the bottom this summer. Since you aren't holding me to it, here's my view of the world.</p><p><br /></p><p>We have a lame duck president in office and are going into the election year.</p><p><br /></p><p>We have seen a large correction in the stock market this summer - investors are re-allocating funds and looking to seal up some solid earnings going into the election year. </p><p><br /></p><p>Fear of the unknown will soon take hold in the masses (if so-and-so is elected, world will end - Zombie Apocalypse, etc)</p><p><br /></p><p>We have interest rates that the government has been avoiding the entire tenure of the current president.</p><p><br /></p><p>We have massive inflation happening due to labor and benefit costs. Healthcare, $15 minimum wage in certain cities (Do you see any more 99 cent menus at fast food? Even bigger hikes in sit-down restaurants).</p><p><br /></p><p>We are facing a larger burden of taxes and fees (less money in pocket) - both in inflationary costs as well as higher percentages. A record number of municipalities raised sales, property and energy/utility taxes this year.</p><p><br /></p><p>China is finally starting to show their recession, and the USA has been heavily exploiting China's expansion for profit.</p><p><br /></p><p>We've hidden these in cheap gas and interest rates, but those will change. (Anyone ever looked at an oil vs gold historic chart?)</p><p><br /></p><p>I am calling this "Brett's Bottom" (My little tribute to Mark Haines, who I watched daily for years and got tons of insight from). </p><p><br /></p><p>It might break below 1100 a few more times, but not by much. And any turmoil will send it towards 1200 within the year.</p><p><br /></p><p>Your Mileage May Vary![/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2233462, member: 71510"]I think we saw the bottom this summer. Since you aren't holding me to it, here's my view of the world. We have a lame duck president in office and are going into the election year. We have seen a large correction in the stock market this summer - investors are re-allocating funds and looking to seal up some solid earnings going into the election year. Fear of the unknown will soon take hold in the masses (if so-and-so is elected, world will end - Zombie Apocalypse, etc) We have interest rates that the government has been avoiding the entire tenure of the current president. We have massive inflation happening due to labor and benefit costs. Healthcare, $15 minimum wage in certain cities (Do you see any more 99 cent menus at fast food? Even bigger hikes in sit-down restaurants). We are facing a larger burden of taxes and fees (less money in pocket) - both in inflationary costs as well as higher percentages. A record number of municipalities raised sales, property and energy/utility taxes this year. China is finally starting to show their recession, and the USA has been heavily exploiting China's expansion for profit. We've hidden these in cheap gas and interest rates, but those will change. (Anyone ever looked at an oil vs gold historic chart?) I am calling this "Brett's Bottom" (My little tribute to Mark Haines, who I watched daily for years and got tons of insight from). It might break below 1100 a few more times, but not by much. And any turmoil will send it towards 1200 within the year. Your Mileage May Vary![/QUOTE]
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