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<p>[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1838496, member: 30574"]No, of course not, the economy was in shambles, credit was locked up, we needed loose money policies to get us through a very tough time. What you need to understand though, QE and low rates only affected the equites market indirectly. The easy money gave the corps a better environment to earn money, but make no mistake about, it was the earnings that put the stock market where it is. As I said earlier, stocks are fairly valued if you value them by historical price to earnings ratio</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Way too simple a view. QE should not be viewed as bad or good, but more as needed or not needed and how it effects the investing landscape. There are positives and negatives to easy money. The policies in place at a particular time should just be viewed as one piece of the puzzle for your investment decisions. Make no mistake about it, if QE was not sucessful and drove inflation upwards, PM prices would have soared, so you just cannot say QE was bad for PM. It could have went the other way also.</p><p><br /></p><p>In addition, this round of easy money really didn't kill the PM market. PM's were driven way above fair value by fear. So far all it did was was bring PM's back down to near fair value. This was eventually going to happen anyway. A commodity can have wild swings, but for the long term, it will track the cost of production.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>EARNINGS BABY EARNING!!!!!</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p> I am not what your point is about bank stocks being lower. I am sure it is true but so what? We are where we are. I guess what confuses me is if you really understood how this all works, why didn't you just load up on bank stocks?</p><p><br /></p><p>Now lets talk about this crash you seem certain is going to happen. The first thing is if you are certain about this, you should be dancing a jig since it is a sure fire way to a path of riches. All you need to do is invest everything and buy puts on an S&P index ETF and when the crash comes, Bingo, overnight multi-millionaire.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now personally, I see a problem with this. This is not the Feds first Rodeo,</p><p>If you are making a bet that the market will crash when the FED tightens, well, that is simply not what history tells us will happen. History in fact tells us in a tightening environment, the ride gets a bit bumpy, but equities do power upward, but hey if you know better, go for it.</p><p><br /></p><p>As far as you last point about about loose money only being good for the big fish, well that is ridiculous. If you had enough money for PM's you had enough money for a nice ETF and could have enjoyed the stellar run up just like the big fish.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1838496, member: 30574"]No, of course not, the economy was in shambles, credit was locked up, we needed loose money policies to get us through a very tough time. What you need to understand though, QE and low rates only affected the equites market indirectly. The easy money gave the corps a better environment to earn money, but make no mistake about, it was the earnings that put the stock market where it is. As I said earlier, stocks are fairly valued if you value them by historical price to earnings ratio Way too simple a view. QE should not be viewed as bad or good, but more as needed or not needed and how it effects the investing landscape. There are positives and negatives to easy money. The policies in place at a particular time should just be viewed as one piece of the puzzle for your investment decisions. Make no mistake about it, if QE was not sucessful and drove inflation upwards, PM prices would have soared, so you just cannot say QE was bad for PM. It could have went the other way also. In addition, this round of easy money really didn't kill the PM market. PM's were driven way above fair value by fear. So far all it did was was bring PM's back down to near fair value. This was eventually going to happen anyway. A commodity can have wild swings, but for the long term, it will track the cost of production. EARNINGS BABY EARNING!!!!! I am not what your point is about bank stocks being lower. I am sure it is true but so what? We are where we are. I guess what confuses me is if you really understood how this all works, why didn't you just load up on bank stocks? Now lets talk about this crash you seem certain is going to happen. The first thing is if you are certain about this, you should be dancing a jig since it is a sure fire way to a path of riches. All you need to do is invest everything and buy puts on an S&P index ETF and when the crash comes, Bingo, overnight multi-millionaire. Now personally, I see a problem with this. This is not the Feds first Rodeo, If you are making a bet that the market will crash when the FED tightens, well, that is simply not what history tells us will happen. History in fact tells us in a tightening environment, the ride gets a bit bumpy, but equities do power upward, but hey if you know better, go for it. As far as you last point about about loose money only being good for the big fish, well that is ridiculous. If you had enough money for PM's you had enough money for a nice ETF and could have enjoyed the stellar run up just like the big fish.[/QUOTE]
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