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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1582971, member: 41665"]What an <i>absurd </i>claim. Retail coins and bullion are sold by almost EXACTLY the same vendors & businesses. To whom? The same clientele, just another year older? Investors in Gold Coins versus Gold bars are the same type(s), the overlap is obvious. The US demographic cohorts are essentially identical. Don't take my word for it, go ask your LCS. </p><p><br /></p><p>To be sure, <i>some </i>Gold-Bugs love 'coin collecting' and others distrust the 'coin premium' altogether. Any other distinction is silly, a trifle: they're still <i>both </i>Gold-Bugs! (Foreign Gold-Bugs might be different, I'll grant.)</p><p><br /></p><p>My calc from ICI stats illustrates how only ~0.023% of US households owning mfs own a PM ETF ( ~12,000 US retail investors: <a href="http://www.cointalk.com/t217554/#post1574053" class="internalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.cointalk.com/t217554/#post1574053">http://www.cointalk.com/t217554/#post1574053</a> ) In the USA, that's where any "growth" in US Gold-ownership has been (in Paper!) and that's still 'almost no Americans' frankly. </p><p><br /></p><p>Americans have been SELLING their Gold & Silver (real asset), net-net. WGC stats show declining bullion sales in the USA, and the US turned into a net exporter in 2012: there's the big picture folks. Like coin collectors generally, PM coin and bullion buyers are a stagnant, aging, <i>contracting </i>demographic. Read it and weep. Someone on another thread half-jokingly pointed out that ANA membership hasn't increased in 30 years - well, the population of the USA was 229.5 mln in 1981 and it's 312 mln now, 36% higher. So YES, on a relative basis the overall mkt has probably <i>shrunk by 1/3rd</i>. Those numbers run hard against the illusion of 'collector/bullionist growth.' And burden of proof is on those who fanatsize otherwise: who/where are all these imaginary new bullionists/numismatists coming from?</p><p><br /></p><p>Another professional perspective, elsewhere: famed commodity speculator Jim Rodgers polled a money manager conference in Prague in 2009. Of ~300 professionals/HNW investors, 76% of these sophisticates had NEVER held owned or held Gold in their or clients' portfolios. And that audience was what, 80% European and skewed German? If like-minded investors (who go to see a <i>commodity guru</i>!)don't hold an esoteric asset class like Gold, you can be pretty sure the mainstream isn't either. Jimmy Rodgers mocked the IDEA of Gold Bubble: "How can there be a Bubble if no one even owns it?!" And that's true, simply.</p><p><br /></p><p>Finally: beyond the crackpots, loons, and tin-foil hatter conspiracy theorists, almost ALL talking points of bullionist rhetoric coddle 'older White Guy anxieties.' It's a very reasonable conclusion that particular appeal is market-driven, not merely coincidence. (And truth be told, my foreign friends think most American Gold-Bugs sound more anti-American than Soviet or Islamic extremist propaganda ever was!) </p><p><br /></p><p>I'm a bullionist, but there's waaaaaaay too much nonsense on Gold sites about 'how popular' Gold/Silver are. Truth is, PMs aren't (yet.) By the numbers, we're <i>not even close </i>to a major trend-change. </p><p><br /></p><p>Show the stats otherwise; anything else is just buggy blather. </p><p><br /></p><p>[video=youtube;3w4B7QxL_n4]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3w4B7QxL_n4[/video][/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1582971, member: 41665"]What an [I]absurd [/I]claim. Retail coins and bullion are sold by almost EXACTLY the same vendors & businesses. To whom? The same clientele, just another year older? Investors in Gold Coins versus Gold bars are the same type(s), the overlap is obvious. The US demographic cohorts are essentially identical. Don't take my word for it, go ask your LCS. To be sure, [I]some [/I]Gold-Bugs love 'coin collecting' and others distrust the 'coin premium' altogether. Any other distinction is silly, a trifle: they're still [I]both [/I]Gold-Bugs! (Foreign Gold-Bugs might be different, I'll grant.) My calc from ICI stats illustrates how only ~0.023% of US households owning mfs own a PM ETF ( ~12,000 US retail investors: [URL]http://www.cointalk.com/t217554/#post1574053[/URL] ) In the USA, that's where any "growth" in US Gold-ownership has been (in Paper!) and that's still 'almost no Americans' frankly. Americans have been SELLING their Gold & Silver (real asset), net-net. WGC stats show declining bullion sales in the USA, and the US turned into a net exporter in 2012: there's the big picture folks. Like coin collectors generally, PM coin and bullion buyers are a stagnant, aging, [I]contracting [/I]demographic. Read it and weep. Someone on another thread half-jokingly pointed out that ANA membership hasn't increased in 30 years - well, the population of the USA was 229.5 mln in 1981 and it's 312 mln now, 36% higher. So YES, on a relative basis the overall mkt has probably [I]shrunk by 1/3rd[/I]. Those numbers run hard against the illusion of 'collector/bullionist growth.' And burden of proof is on those who fanatsize otherwise: who/where are all these imaginary new bullionists/numismatists coming from? Another professional perspective, elsewhere: famed commodity speculator Jim Rodgers polled a money manager conference in Prague in 2009. Of ~300 professionals/HNW investors, 76% of these sophisticates had NEVER held owned or held Gold in their or clients' portfolios. And that audience was what, 80% European and skewed German? If like-minded investors (who go to see a [I]commodity guru[/I]!)don't hold an esoteric asset class like Gold, you can be pretty sure the mainstream isn't either. Jimmy Rodgers mocked the IDEA of Gold Bubble: "How can there be a Bubble if no one even owns it?!" And that's true, simply. Finally: beyond the crackpots, loons, and tin-foil hatter conspiracy theorists, almost ALL talking points of bullionist rhetoric coddle 'older White Guy anxieties.' It's a very reasonable conclusion that particular appeal is market-driven, not merely coincidence. (And truth be told, my foreign friends think most American Gold-Bugs sound more anti-American than Soviet or Islamic extremist propaganda ever was!) I'm a bullionist, but there's waaaaaaay too much nonsense on Gold sites about 'how popular' Gold/Silver are. Truth is, PMs aren't (yet.) By the numbers, we're [I]not even close [/I]to a major trend-change. Show the stats otherwise; anything else is just buggy blather. [video=youtube;3w4B7QxL_n4]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3w4B7QxL_n4[/video][/QUOTE]
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Gold or Silver prices, what will make the prices go up?? Did we top out already?
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