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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1614395, member: 6492"]Hi Juan,</p><p><br /></p><p>When I first read it I ran the numbers in my head and almost blew chunks on my monitor. 90/8/2. Ouch. Over the past 4-5 years, I've moved it to ~60/25/15. I'm still working at it. </p><p><br /></p><p>Where so many folks I've been chatting with over the years get trapped is thinging that asset allocation only applies to their 401K or IRA . . . their securities, if you will. Good as far as it goes but they need to learn that diversification applies to life. For example, anyone still in the labor force that's not diversifying their job skills is exposing themselves and their income to needless to risk. And perhaps that's a good ending. It's all about risk management. Recognizing the probabilities of each possible outcome, the costs and benefits of each, and the consequences of any coming to pass.</p><p><br /></p><p>I doubt that the Fed is going to run us up to hyperinflation that results in a financial meltdown. I'd give it a 15-20% chance. That's not much of a risk. However, the costs and consequences in the event we did would be so dire, that one simply has to take some modest precautions. Anything else is silly.</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1614395, member: 6492"]Hi Juan, When I first read it I ran the numbers in my head and almost blew chunks on my monitor. 90/8/2. Ouch. Over the past 4-5 years, I've moved it to ~60/25/15. I'm still working at it. Where so many folks I've been chatting with over the years get trapped is thinging that asset allocation only applies to their 401K or IRA . . . their securities, if you will. Good as far as it goes but they need to learn that diversification applies to life. For example, anyone still in the labor force that's not diversifying their job skills is exposing themselves and their income to needless to risk. And perhaps that's a good ending. It's all about risk management. Recognizing the probabilities of each possible outcome, the costs and benefits of each, and the consequences of any coming to pass. I doubt that the Fed is going to run us up to hyperinflation that results in a financial meltdown. I'd give it a 15-20% chance. That's not much of a risk. However, the costs and consequences in the event we did would be so dire, that one simply has to take some modest precautions. Anything else is silly. peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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