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fyi Worst Case Scenario: Late April 1987 Silver Plunge (4/28/87 ~ -35% 1-Day Loss)
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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1609201, member: 41665"]In 2009, there was an aberrant supply issue for ASE's and AGEs, related to IRAs. From 3/17/2008-10/24/2008 POS fell from 20.92 - 8.88, a Loss of ~58%. So Silver players have alreaday had at least two (2) ~-50% haircuts in this PM Bull Market. <a href="http://www.cointalk.com/t219228/#post1597339" class="internalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.cointalk.com/t219228/#post1597339">http://www.cointalk.com/t219228/#post1597339</a></p><p><br /></p><p>That's <i>normal Risk</i>, just an Interim Top followed by a retracement and obviously not evidence an Investor Death Spike. These retracements are 'times to buy' ... $29.20 isn't the low either, unless the Fed desperately starts a reflation effort again. We will likely see $22.-25. (perhaps even $19.) before we see $40. again. </p><p><br /></p><p>I wonder how many CT bullionists would panic POS @ $25., in July/August 2013? </p><p><br /></p><p>On pause, I presume Silver Seasonality (bull period) will disappoint in 2013. Silver's seasonality was also weak in 2010, but strong in other recent years: see chart.</p><p><a href="http://www.greenfaucet.com/?q=node/13799" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.greenfaucet.com/?q=node/13799" rel="nofollow">http://www.greenfaucet.com/?q=node/13799</a>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1609201, member: 41665"]In 2009, there was an aberrant supply issue for ASE's and AGEs, related to IRAs. From 3/17/2008-10/24/2008 POS fell from 20.92 - 8.88, a Loss of ~58%. So Silver players have alreaday had at least two (2) ~-50% haircuts in this PM Bull Market. [URL]http://www.cointalk.com/t219228/#post1597339[/URL] That's [I]normal Risk[/I], just an Interim Top followed by a retracement and obviously not evidence an Investor Death Spike. These retracements are 'times to buy' ... $29.20 isn't the low either, unless the Fed desperately starts a reflation effort again. We will likely see $22.-25. (perhaps even $19.) before we see $40. again. I wonder how many CT bullionists would panic POS @ $25., in July/August 2013? On pause, I presume Silver Seasonality (bull period) will disappoint in 2013. Silver's seasonality was also weak in 2010, but strong in other recent years: see chart. [URL]http://www.greenfaucet.com/?q=node/13799[/URL][/QUOTE]
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fyi Worst Case Scenario: Late April 1987 Silver Plunge (4/28/87 ~ -35% 1-Day Loss)
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