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<p>[QUOTE="Bluesboy65, post: 1138410, member: 23329"]Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher said on Friday that “we did our job as a central bank. We may have overdone our job. We have done enough. We are at risk of doing too much. I don't believe we will". Fisher does not want to signal a rush for the exit but made his point. He went on to say that we have other structural issues that additional stimulus may indeed make worse and that he would not support additional accommodation.</p><p><br /></p><p>According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, <b>Core</b> CPI (inflation) in February was 1.09% from the previous February and this is a 15% increase from January’s year over year increase of .95%. At this rate of increase the Fed’s target of 1.5%-2.0% will be exceeded by late June.</p><p><br /></p><p>Since QE2 (Sep), the DOW has risen from $10K to over $12K, an increase of just over 20% while unemployment has bounced around in the 9% range (excluding discouraged workers). There is no doubt that QE2 has had a positive impact on financial markets, and perhaps in halting a steeper slide in unemployment. However, considering some of these key indicators and considering the fact that these actions have pushed the debt over $14 trillion it is clear we cannot continue on this path for ever. In fact it seems we're digging a pretty big hole and I haven't even factored in the impact of unfunded liabilities.</p><p><br /></p><p>I think this is why the US and many other nations are driving their currency lower (they do this to pay back debt with cheaper dollars) as a de facto, if not official, policy. In this environment, people and governments are looking for a safe haven to store/preserve their wealth. There are a range of options here including other strong currencies, commodities, precious metals and "safe" sovereign debt. I think PM’s will continue to do well in an environment where the US and other leading economies pursue currency devaluation as a means of “growing” their industry.</p><p><br /></p><p>Regards,</p><p><br /></p><p>Bluesboy65[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Bluesboy65, post: 1138410, member: 23329"]Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher said on Friday that “we did our job as a central bank. We may have overdone our job. We have done enough. We are at risk of doing too much. I don't believe we will". Fisher does not want to signal a rush for the exit but made his point. He went on to say that we have other structural issues that additional stimulus may indeed make worse and that he would not support additional accommodation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, [B]Core[/B] CPI (inflation) in February was 1.09% from the previous February and this is a 15% increase from January’s year over year increase of .95%. At this rate of increase the Fed’s target of 1.5%-2.0% will be exceeded by late June. Since QE2 (Sep), the DOW has risen from $10K to over $12K, an increase of just over 20% while unemployment has bounced around in the 9% range (excluding discouraged workers). There is no doubt that QE2 has had a positive impact on financial markets, and perhaps in halting a steeper slide in unemployment. However, considering some of these key indicators and considering the fact that these actions have pushed the debt over $14 trillion it is clear we cannot continue on this path for ever. In fact it seems we're digging a pretty big hole and I haven't even factored in the impact of unfunded liabilities. I think this is why the US and many other nations are driving their currency lower (they do this to pay back debt with cheaper dollars) as a de facto, if not official, policy. In this environment, people and governments are looking for a safe haven to store/preserve their wealth. There are a range of options here including other strong currencies, commodities, precious metals and "safe" sovereign debt. I think PM’s will continue to do well in an environment where the US and other leading economies pursue currency devaluation as a means of “growing” their industry. Regards, Bluesboy65[/QUOTE]
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