Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Driver of Gold and Silver prices
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1096539, member: 3011"]The answer is a little complicated. On the one hand, a base rate of inflation is implicit in a fiat economy because the growth in money supply over time must be approximately the same as interest rates. So there is always a tailwind pushing prices for everything upward. Offsetting this are improvements in technology. In mining, many of the technological advances and computer modelling have made drilling and mine construction more accurate, reducing costs. But perhaps the biggest factor in producing precious metals is the cost of energy. Some companies have reported that energy costs are as much as 40% of their total cost. This probably drives the cost of production more than inflation. And I know that energy costs are also subject to inflation, but they are perhaps more influenced by the increase in demand relative to the increase in supply. Remember, we had a lot of cumulative inflation from 1980 to 2000 and precious metal prices declined over the same period, and the drop in energy costs was a big factor in keeping the cost of production, and hence the price, low. So there is a relationship, but not dollar for dollar. If the money supply is the primary or only factor you look at when evaluating a precious metal investment, you are almost guaranteed to lose money.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1096539, member: 3011"]The answer is a little complicated. On the one hand, a base rate of inflation is implicit in a fiat economy because the growth in money supply over time must be approximately the same as interest rates. So there is always a tailwind pushing prices for everything upward. Offsetting this are improvements in technology. In mining, many of the technological advances and computer modelling have made drilling and mine construction more accurate, reducing costs. But perhaps the biggest factor in producing precious metals is the cost of energy. Some companies have reported that energy costs are as much as 40% of their total cost. This probably drives the cost of production more than inflation. And I know that energy costs are also subject to inflation, but they are perhaps more influenced by the increase in demand relative to the increase in supply. Remember, we had a lot of cumulative inflation from 1980 to 2000 and precious metal prices declined over the same period, and the drop in energy costs was a big factor in keeping the cost of production, and hence the price, low. So there is a relationship, but not dollar for dollar. If the money supply is the primary or only factor you look at when evaluating a precious metal investment, you are almost guaranteed to lose money.[/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Driver of Gold and Silver prices
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...