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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1094477, member: 3011"]At the start of the gold and silver bull market, the driver was simply that the price of the metals had fallen below the cost of production. How many things could you buy at prices cheaper than the 1970s?</p><p><br /></p><p>After that, the "early adopters" jumped in because they could see silver inventories shrinking while demand rose.</p><p><br /></p><p>The next phase above $30 will either have to be driven by a Comex silver shortage and possible delivery default, or by investor speculation [which are closely related].</p><p><br /></p><p>All of the stories about inflation, debt, the Fed, etc... are interesting reading but aren't really the drivers. Maybe the will become drivers someday, but right now it's just filler for the business section of the newspaper. If I was 100% convinced of high rates of inflation, I would go to cash [with some PM holdings to balance it], wait for the inevitable market drop when the inflation became apparent, then purchase companies with high and growing earnings that don't require a lot of capital infusions to grow. That's the way you beat inflation.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1094477, member: 3011"]At the start of the gold and silver bull market, the driver was simply that the price of the metals had fallen below the cost of production. How many things could you buy at prices cheaper than the 1970s? After that, the "early adopters" jumped in because they could see silver inventories shrinking while demand rose. The next phase above $30 will either have to be driven by a Comex silver shortage and possible delivery default, or by investor speculation [which are closely related]. All of the stories about inflation, debt, the Fed, etc... are interesting reading but aren't really the drivers. Maybe the will become drivers someday, but right now it's just filler for the business section of the newspaper. If I was 100% convinced of high rates of inflation, I would go to cash [with some PM holdings to balance it], wait for the inevitable market drop when the inflation became apparent, then purchase companies with high and growing earnings that don't require a lot of capital infusions to grow. That's the way you beat inflation.[/QUOTE]
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