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<p>[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 2503128, member: 27832"]But if you're adjusting the amount you spend based on whether you think the price is low or high, <i>you're not dollar-cost averaging any more</i>. You're <i>speculating</i> that, since silver is cheaper now than last month, you should buy more. If it continues to go down, you've spent money that you should've saved for a time when it will buy more silver.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>These are <b>pure MARKET TIMING</b>. These rules seem like common sense, but you have to keep in mind that <i>everybody else</i> seriously studying the market will have seen these same patterns, and the expectations they generate will be baked into the market price.</p><p><br /></p><p>If you think you can make money timing the market because you know more than the rest of the market, you <i>may</i> be right, but the smart money won't bet on it. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 2503128, member: 27832"]But if you're adjusting the amount you spend based on whether you think the price is low or high, [I]you're not dollar-cost averaging any more[/I]. You're [I]speculating[/I] that, since silver is cheaper now than last month, you should buy more. If it continues to go down, you've spent money that you should've saved for a time when it will buy more silver. These are [B]pure MARKET TIMING[/B]. These rules seem like common sense, but you have to keep in mind that [I]everybody else[/I] seriously studying the market will have seen these same patterns, and the expectations they generate will be baked into the market price. If you think you can make money timing the market because you know more than the rest of the market, you [I]may[/I] be right, but the smart money won't bet on it. :)[/QUOTE]
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