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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1648276, member: 6492"]Howdy,</p><p><br /></p><p>The baby boom generation is about 70M in this country and extends to europe and asia ex-japan. If you think about WWII, the winners went home and made babies. This is a bloody huge demographic bulge working thru the system and a lot of money has, and can still be made, playing it. For example, take real estate. What type of housing do people buy throughout their lives and when? Apartment, starter, bighouse, retirement home, retirement village, senior housing, old folks, memory ward, grave. What are the boomers doing right now? The boomers are 1946 - 1964 - or 49 to 67 yo. This means the younger are either living in or moving to the 'big house' while the older are moving to the retirement home/condo on the lake or links. In a few years the older will start to move to retirement housing. To make a buck on this you need to stay ahead of the curve. </p><p><br /></p><p>Now as for the markets, most of them are international but for simplification lets separate pms and stocks. The demand function for pm's is both global and enormously diverse. A demographic bulge here or there doesn't really matter because of the breadth of the demand. Now the equity market is also subject to global demand but to a much lesser degree (i.e. big banks and the very rich and some sovereign nations). The other problem facing the equity market is that so many of the boomers have (or had) stocks via their 401s, retirement savings, etc. To some degree the baby boomers will change from being net investors to net spenders. Ah, there's the rub, 'to some degree'. Oh, BTW, this has been chatted about for quite a while as the baby boomer generation went over 'the line' back in 2009/10. By the line, I mean that point where they would be on average more retired than working. This transalates into the 70M boomers already and in increasing numbers becoming net/net DISinvestors. Ah, this is not good for the equity market. Not good at all.</p><p><br /></p><p>The only thing keeping the stock market gassed is the Federal Reserve printing money like a drunken sailor. They're calling it Quantitative Easing but it's essentially monetizing the debt. They're doing this because the Unfunded Liabilities i.e. the real national debt) is over $100 Trillion freakin dollars and they have no way to pay it. UL are social security, medicare/aid, various trust funds, debt service, war w/o taxes, not to mention the state and local stuff). There is no politically viable way to reduce these debts sufficiently, nor raise taxes sufficiently nor any combination of the two. Ergo, the Fed is left with no alternative but to monetize as much as possible in order to hopefully cut and tax to cover the rest. At least that's the plan. The issue is whether they can do this without imploding the currency into some hyperinflation nightmare . . . or any other sort of financial meltdown you can envision. And that is the bet we're all being forced to make as be try an plan for our own financial futures. Is this a great country or what?</p><p><br /></p><p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-22/late-friday-humor-quantitative-easing-simplified" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-22/late-friday-humor-quantitative-easing-simplified" rel="nofollow">http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-22/late-friday-humor-quantitative-easing-simplified</a> </p><p><br /></p><p>Now to bring this back to the thread, the stock market should be tanking and should do so for another lost decade. It's not because the Fed is pumping trillions of dollars and at zero interest rates, the stock market is about the only possible place to invest. The market is being kept afoat by QE . . . nth. It's like a tire with a leak. You can keep it inflated if you continually pump a lot of air into it but should you stop . . . </p><p><br /></p><p>How long can the Fed keep filling the punchbowl and what happens when they stop? </p><p><br /></p><p>just a few thoughts,</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1648276, member: 6492"]Howdy, The baby boom generation is about 70M in this country and extends to europe and asia ex-japan. If you think about WWII, the winners went home and made babies. This is a bloody huge demographic bulge working thru the system and a lot of money has, and can still be made, playing it. For example, take real estate. What type of housing do people buy throughout their lives and when? Apartment, starter, bighouse, retirement home, retirement village, senior housing, old folks, memory ward, grave. What are the boomers doing right now? The boomers are 1946 - 1964 - or 49 to 67 yo. This means the younger are either living in or moving to the 'big house' while the older are moving to the retirement home/condo on the lake or links. In a few years the older will start to move to retirement housing. To make a buck on this you need to stay ahead of the curve. Now as for the markets, most of them are international but for simplification lets separate pms and stocks. The demand function for pm's is both global and enormously diverse. A demographic bulge here or there doesn't really matter because of the breadth of the demand. Now the equity market is also subject to global demand but to a much lesser degree (i.e. big banks and the very rich and some sovereign nations). The other problem facing the equity market is that so many of the boomers have (or had) stocks via their 401s, retirement savings, etc. To some degree the baby boomers will change from being net investors to net spenders. Ah, there's the rub, 'to some degree'. Oh, BTW, this has been chatted about for quite a while as the baby boomer generation went over 'the line' back in 2009/10. By the line, I mean that point where they would be on average more retired than working. This transalates into the 70M boomers already and in increasing numbers becoming net/net DISinvestors. Ah, this is not good for the equity market. Not good at all. The only thing keeping the stock market gassed is the Federal Reserve printing money like a drunken sailor. They're calling it Quantitative Easing but it's essentially monetizing the debt. They're doing this because the Unfunded Liabilities i.e. the real national debt) is over $100 Trillion freakin dollars and they have no way to pay it. UL are social security, medicare/aid, various trust funds, debt service, war w/o taxes, not to mention the state and local stuff). There is no politically viable way to reduce these debts sufficiently, nor raise taxes sufficiently nor any combination of the two. Ergo, the Fed is left with no alternative but to monetize as much as possible in order to hopefully cut and tax to cover the rest. At least that's the plan. The issue is whether they can do this without imploding the currency into some hyperinflation nightmare . . . or any other sort of financial meltdown you can envision. And that is the bet we're all being forced to make as be try an plan for our own financial futures. Is this a great country or what? [url]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-22/late-friday-humor-quantitative-easing-simplified[/url] Now to bring this back to the thread, the stock market should be tanking and should do so for another lost decade. It's not because the Fed is pumping trillions of dollars and at zero interest rates, the stock market is about the only possible place to invest. The market is being kept afoat by QE . . . nth. It's like a tire with a leak. You can keep it inflated if you continually pump a lot of air into it but should you stop . . . How long can the Fed keep filling the punchbowl and what happens when they stop? just a few thoughts, peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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