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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Cringely, post: 2100729, member: 22271&quot;]Trying to make money by market timing is inherently risky.</p><p>Plot the S&amp;P 500, gold and silver prices for the last century (preferably on a semi-log chart which illustrates % changes). Then figure out which ones require incredibly lucky market timing (for both up swings and drops) and calculate what the annual % change has been over your time period of choice. Finally, decide how long you are going to be in the market. Then decide where you want your money to be.</p><p>If you want to see the effects of market timing, move your starting point 6 months at a time over a few year period.</p><p>Yes, this sounds complicated, but it will illustrate the effects of market timing.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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