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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1585977, member: 3011"]The gold bull market will end as a textbook example of the greater fool theory. But not yet. I agree that bonds are overpriced and should be avoided. I disagree about stocks which in the aggregate sell for about what they did a dozen years ago while earnings, etc. have grown. The eventual surprise will be to the upside. I don't disagree about buying when prices are lower - I'm a long time value investor. But a 6% dividend is more of a warning sign than sign of value these days. Earnings, cash flow, balance sheet, and low multiples are the way to go. I agree that dollar cost averaging is a poor investment technique, and I've had many discussions with other forum memebers about it. Because of the size of the gold market, it won't become a significant portion of the typical investor's portfolio, so that's irrelevant.</p><p><br /></p><p>Edit: I would also add that 6% has never been the historical or typical dividend on common stocks as a group.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1585977, member: 3011"]The gold bull market will end as a textbook example of the greater fool theory. But not yet. I agree that bonds are overpriced and should be avoided. I disagree about stocks which in the aggregate sell for about what they did a dozen years ago while earnings, etc. have grown. The eventual surprise will be to the upside. I don't disagree about buying when prices are lower - I'm a long time value investor. But a 6% dividend is more of a warning sign than sign of value these days. Earnings, cash flow, balance sheet, and low multiples are the way to go. I agree that dollar cost averaging is a poor investment technique, and I've had many discussions with other forum memebers about it. Because of the size of the gold market, it won't become a significant portion of the typical investor's portfolio, so that's irrelevant. Edit: I would also add that 6% has never been the historical or typical dividend on common stocks as a group.[/QUOTE]
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