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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1621997, member: 26302"]History of PM "predictions"</p><p><br /></p><p>1975 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1976 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1977 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1978 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1979 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1980 "Gold will explode!" - "We were right, you need to pay me for my predictions!"</p><p>1981 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1982 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1983 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1984 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1985 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1986 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1987 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1988 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1989 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1990 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1991 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1992 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1993 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1994 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1995 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1996 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1997 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1998 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>1999 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>2000 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>2001 "Gold will explode!"</p><p>2002 "Gold will explode!" - "We were right, we need money from you for our predictions!"</p><p><br /></p><p>etc ad nauseum.</p><p><br /></p><p>How much "value" do you give to someone who predicts there will be no rain today and is right 75% of the time? Those folks are a LOT more accurate than the PM bug "predictors". </p><p><br /></p><p>COULD they be right? Yes, just as much as i COULD be right that I will predict on May 14th 2086 in New York City there will be no rain that day. Do either of us have any basis to justify the prediction? Not really.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1621997, member: 26302"]History of PM "predictions" 1975 "Gold will explode!" 1976 "Gold will explode!" 1977 "Gold will explode!" 1978 "Gold will explode!" 1979 "Gold will explode!" 1980 "Gold will explode!" - "We were right, you need to pay me for my predictions!" 1981 "Gold will explode!" 1982 "Gold will explode!" 1983 "Gold will explode!" 1984 "Gold will explode!" 1985 "Gold will explode!" 1986 "Gold will explode!" 1987 "Gold will explode!" 1988 "Gold will explode!" 1989 "Gold will explode!" 1990 "Gold will explode!" 1991 "Gold will explode!" 1992 "Gold will explode!" 1993 "Gold will explode!" 1994 "Gold will explode!" 1995 "Gold will explode!" 1996 "Gold will explode!" 1997 "Gold will explode!" 1998 "Gold will explode!" 1999 "Gold will explode!" 2000 "Gold will explode!" 2001 "Gold will explode!" 2002 "Gold will explode!" - "We were right, we need money from you for our predictions!" etc ad nauseum. How much "value" do you give to someone who predicts there will be no rain today and is right 75% of the time? Those folks are a LOT more accurate than the PM bug "predictors". COULD they be right? Yes, just as much as i COULD be right that I will predict on May 14th 2086 in New York City there will be no rain that day. Do either of us have any basis to justify the prediction? Not really.[/QUOTE]
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