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<p>[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 3055318, member: 27832"]Hope you don't mind, I pulled a copy of that adoption-curve image to post directly.</p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]765411[/ATTACH]</p><p>This is an interesting chart. But you know what I'd really like to see on it?</p><p><br /></p><p>CB radios.</p><p><br /></p><p>VCRs.</p><p><br /></p><p><i>Betamax</i> VCRs.</p><p><br /></p><p>Fax machines.</p><p><br /></p><p>Film cameras.</p><p><br /></p><p>My point: some technologies display bumps on their way to "full" adoption -- but some never get fully adopted, or get fully adopted, then abandoned. The only way to tell the difference between a "dip" and a terminal decline is in hindsight.</p><p><br /></p><p>I'm glad I didn't buy Bitcoin at $15K, but I still have <i>very</i> low confidence that it will go to zero (or sub-$1000). In fact, I have very low confidence that it won't surge into six figures.</p><p><br /></p><p>But I guess it's part of my nature to have low confidence in things, and to avoid speculating heavily in things I'm not confident about. That means I'm unlikely to Get Rich Quick, and maybe unlikely to get rich at all.</p><p><br /></p><p>Oh, and congratulations on your windfall. You should put some of it into a nice coin or two, and post them here! <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 3055318, member: 27832"]Hope you don't mind, I pulled a copy of that adoption-curve image to post directly. [ATTACH=full]765411[/ATTACH] This is an interesting chart. But you know what I'd really like to see on it? CB radios. VCRs. [I]Betamax[/I] VCRs. Fax machines. Film cameras. My point: some technologies display bumps on their way to "full" adoption -- but some never get fully adopted, or get fully adopted, then abandoned. The only way to tell the difference between a "dip" and a terminal decline is in hindsight. I'm glad I didn't buy Bitcoin at $15K, but I still have [I]very[/I] low confidence that it will go to zero (or sub-$1000). In fact, I have very low confidence that it won't surge into six figures. But I guess it's part of my nature to have low confidence in things, and to avoid speculating heavily in things I'm not confident about. That means I'm unlikely to Get Rich Quick, and maybe unlikely to get rich at all. Oh, and congratulations on your windfall. You should put some of it into a nice coin or two, and post them here! :)[/QUOTE]
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