Too many people here on CT believe their way is the only way. If you have differing preferences, they will not hesitate to tell you how wrong and stupid you are. It's like they are conducting their own personal Spanish Inquisition. I wish those people would just shut up and go away.
MCM's pushing the market with sets which 2 days ago were $229...now $289...I'm having a great time watching this happen. Nothing to get uptight about...just great fun! Kinda like the fun you may have flipping through old red books, except in real time.
I know what you mean. Even though I would not purchase a graded set, it is still fun to watch the activity on the secondary market. It's like watching the behavior of a stock you have been following. It's entertaining to watch from a distance.
How much faith do you have in the set's viability? If you see its value stretching out to your estimated disposition time frame, then buying 70s may make sense. Eric Jordan's formula in his modern commem book suggests picking up a 70 at less than 50% more than the 69. If the final mintage is less than the 2006 set, hypothesize how the 2012 will look in 6 years. At that time, will the 70 premium go notably beyond the 69/raw value? If you think not, then don't sweat it. If you do, get some! And, still, don't sweat it...
I understand what you are saying and it probably makes sense for the average coin person. My deal, though, is the appreciation potential of a coin is of little interest to me. I like a coin for what it is and its appeal to me. In terms of this set, specifically, I am a sucker for the reverse proof. I just think it is an outstanding look. Personally, I am not drawn to highly-graded coins. In a world obsessed with perfection, I rather enjoy the flaws. I think that's what gives something character. I'm not talking about scratches, gashes, etc., but rather the little flaws. Because of this, I prefer my coins to be raw and also presented in their original and intended context (packaging). I know if I like a coin and don't really care to have somebody else's stamp of approval on it.
july 3-to july 4 and july 4 to july 5 my guess is over 85,000 set. if the mint report its result at 3pm. then you still have few hours not counting till 5 pm closing. that will be report on july 6 at 3 pm. then you also have a lot of returning afterward. so by july 9 monday. or july 11 mint sales report. it will be more clearer. my guess for total mintage will be over 300,000. or i should said between 300,000 to 350,000.