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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 785282, member: 6492"]Good stuff, John,</p><p> </p><p>First off for 'survival' and more importantly for fungibility, buy 90% circulated U.S. silver coins and MS Silver Eagles. Any gold needs to be AGEs and better if it's fractional.</p><p> </p><p>As for gold bugs, survivalists, etc., folks, it's all a matter of risk management. </p><p> </p><p>The two items you have to measure when considering a possible future event and how best to prepare for it, are - the chances it will happen and the cost to me if it does. </p><p> </p><p>And note that this ignores, by definition, black swan events as they are unknowable.</p><p> </p><p>So, if we look at the total collapse of the U.S. Dollar as a possibility, what are the odds? I give it 5-10%. Not much of a chance, but let's look at what it cost me if it did happen? Consider it, a completely worthless dollar - credit cards don't work, no bank accounts, no social security checks, no pension checks, and no medium of exchange. Close enough?</p><p> </p><p>Ok, that's pretty gd bad. But if we think about it, it wouldn't be forever, but probably for at best a few weeks until they got some neo-dollar on the street. What would I need to have to survive those few weeks? Probably a few thou in silver coins, maybe a little gold, some food stuffs in the house, gas in the tank, options for some things, etc. Not really a 'cabin the woods off the grid' sort of preparation is really needed.</p><p> </p><p>Now what is the cost to me for the above insurance premium? If the odds hold true and Event X never occurs, it would be relatively minor. Giving it all up for an offgrid cabin in the woods carries a steeper cost.</p><p> </p><p>just some mutterings,</p><p> </p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 785282, member: 6492"]Good stuff, John, First off for 'survival' and more importantly for fungibility, buy 90% circulated U.S. silver coins and MS Silver Eagles. Any gold needs to be AGEs and better if it's fractional. As for gold bugs, survivalists, etc., folks, it's all a matter of risk management. The two items you have to measure when considering a possible future event and how best to prepare for it, are - the chances it will happen and the cost to me if it does. And note that this ignores, by definition, black swan events as they are unknowable. So, if we look at the total collapse of the U.S. Dollar as a possibility, what are the odds? I give it 5-10%. Not much of a chance, but let's look at what it cost me if it did happen? Consider it, a completely worthless dollar - credit cards don't work, no bank accounts, no social security checks, no pension checks, and no medium of exchange. Close enough? Ok, that's pretty gd bad. But if we think about it, it wouldn't be forever, but probably for at best a few weeks until they got some neo-dollar on the street. What would I need to have to survive those few weeks? Probably a few thou in silver coins, maybe a little gold, some food stuffs in the house, gas in the tank, options for some things, etc. Not really a 'cabin the woods off the grid' sort of preparation is really needed. Now what is the cost to me for the above insurance premium? If the odds hold true and Event X never occurs, it would be relatively minor. Giving it all up for an offgrid cabin in the woods carries a steeper cost. just some mutterings, rono[/QUOTE]
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