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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;-jeffB, post: 1729381, member: 27832&quot;]Okay, there&#039;s been a great deal of water under the bridge since this comment, but I&#039;m late to the thread, and this really struck me.</p><p><br /></p><p>Are you really proposing to make investment decisions based on extrapolation from three swings? Especially when you have to fudge the numbers pretty vigorously (&quot;ignoring 2006&quot;, stretching 2012 to &quot;2011 through 2013&quot;) to reach even that far?</p><p><br /></p><p>To me, this really looks like numerology or astrology. Those, too, are well-established ways to attach meanings to <i>historical</i> patterns. They&#039;re just spectacularly lousy at predicting the <i>future</i>.</p><p><br /></p><p>Then again, I feel the same way about technical analysis, and a lot of people put very serious money behind that. Enough, in fact, to make it an occasionally self-fulfilling prophecy.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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