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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1727937, member: 26302"]It would shock me as well. For that to be true, silver would have to be near the high end of variable silver mining costs. I do not think the variable costs are that high, so if it were truly that steady I think the range would have to be lower. However, since its around $22 steadily right now, investor psychology has to be propping it up. Since that is the case, I am betting investor psychology will not be such low volatility. The 1990's were low volatility since everyone thought silver was a bad investment, and there were some large sovereign sales suppressing the market. I do not see any sovereign sales nor purchases on the horizon, and a corps of young bullion investors nowadays. </p><p><br /></p><p>Make sense? IOW, since its mainly priced on psychology right now, I do not think this will lend to rock steady pricing. Short term, I am nervous about what these two large copper mine shutdowns will have on silver supplies. Its hard to lose two of the largest copper mines in the world and not have a measurable affect on silver supply. It will take months, but it could be a spark to at least a short term spike later this year.</p><p><br /></p><p>Always remember, though, that if PM stays "steady" its in reality declining. Humans never get that through their head, really, the notion that if something is worth $22 a decade from now it has in reality lost a lot of value. By definition, the value of something like PM should go up each year with inflation over the course of years to "stay steady".[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1727937, member: 26302"]It would shock me as well. For that to be true, silver would have to be near the high end of variable silver mining costs. I do not think the variable costs are that high, so if it were truly that steady I think the range would have to be lower. However, since its around $22 steadily right now, investor psychology has to be propping it up. Since that is the case, I am betting investor psychology will not be such low volatility. The 1990's were low volatility since everyone thought silver was a bad investment, and there were some large sovereign sales suppressing the market. I do not see any sovereign sales nor purchases on the horizon, and a corps of young bullion investors nowadays. Make sense? IOW, since its mainly priced on psychology right now, I do not think this will lend to rock steady pricing. Short term, I am nervous about what these two large copper mine shutdowns will have on silver supplies. Its hard to lose two of the largest copper mines in the world and not have a measurable affect on silver supply. It will take months, but it could be a spark to at least a short term spike later this year. Always remember, though, that if PM stays "steady" its in reality declining. Humans never get that through their head, really, the notion that if something is worth $22 a decade from now it has in reality lost a lot of value. By definition, the value of something like PM should go up each year with inflation over the course of years to "stay steady".[/QUOTE]
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