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<p>[QUOTE="Daniel M. Ryan, post: 1277021, member: 32253"]There's also something else. Standard economic theory assumes that prices deviate from a fixed number. Except for Schumpeter, it doesn't take account of "demand revolutions" where the level of demand is continually increasing over a long period of time. When PMs are in a long-term bull market, a demand revolution is taking place. Rational economic theory says that suppliers should, if anything, restrict production in such a case so as to take advantage of higher prices down the road.</p><p><br /></p><p>Of course, that strategy assumes we can know when the demand revolution ends - and we can't. So, reasonable mining managers - torn between boosting production and hoarding - tend to stick with the same production schedule and plow the added profits into exploration. Large sections of a producing mine are filled with ore that doesn't make the grade. At higher prices, those formations are worth a second look. </p><p><br /></p><p>There's also exploring undeveloped properties, but the lead time is l-o-n-g. </p><p><br /></p><p>FYI: in mining, a fairly good approximation of variable costs is "cash costs."[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Daniel M. Ryan, post: 1277021, member: 32253"]There's also something else. Standard economic theory assumes that prices deviate from a fixed number. Except for Schumpeter, it doesn't take account of "demand revolutions" where the level of demand is continually increasing over a long period of time. When PMs are in a long-term bull market, a demand revolution is taking place. Rational economic theory says that suppliers should, if anything, restrict production in such a case so as to take advantage of higher prices down the road. Of course, that strategy assumes we can know when the demand revolution ends - and we can't. So, reasonable mining managers - torn between boosting production and hoarding - tend to stick with the same production schedule and plow the added profits into exploration. Large sections of a producing mine are filled with ore that doesn't make the grade. At higher prices, those formations are worth a second look. There's also exploring undeveloped properties, but the lead time is l-o-n-g. FYI: in mining, a fairly good approximation of variable costs is "cash costs."[/QUOTE]
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