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<p>[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 835452, member: 18157"]I appreciate the kind words! :high5:</p><p> </p><p>Back in September 2009, I made an <a href="http://www.cointalk.com/t44495-20/#post686257" class="internalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.cointalk.com/t44495-20/#post686257">Anna Harrision final Unc prediction </a>on one of <b>Elaine's</b> threads...it was for a final mintage of 3600-3800. We may just make the low end of that prediction. I think I made a Proof and Unc prediction somewhere, but I can't find it. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie5" alt=":confused:" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p> </p><p>New prediction...(goes along with <b>Elaine's</b> predictions, but gives some "reasons why")...</p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>Some have predicted that falling gold prices will cause sales to increase. That might be true if they are just short pull backs and prices rebound. However, if we see a sustained downtrend in PM prices, folks might not want to buy until prices stabilize (no sense trying to catch a falling knife!).</p><p> </p><p>If you look at gold charts for the years of mid-term elections, nearly all of them show a rather steady downtrend in prices beginning 2-6 months prior to the election. 2002 was an exception...but it moved sideways and PM prices were at an all-time low.</p><p> </p><p>Since we're at all time highs for PM prices, we're printing money like nobody's business, and the GOP will likely pick up Congressional seats this Fall, it's "likely" (not for sure, but likely) we may see a gentle, sustained decline in PM prices beginning in late Summer, early Fall.</p><p> </p><p>My "theory" is that the markets suspect interest rates are held low to create the "illusion" of a good economy going into elections (regardless of who's in power). The markets will "anticipate" a corrective rise in interest rates (stronger dollar, weaker PM prices) after the election.</p><p> </p><p>I know there are many folks out there that disagree with what I just said and they may be right. Hey! if I was right all the time, I would be on a yacht somewhere instead on CT! :goof:</p><p> </p><p>I'm just saying...the "probability" (imho) is for the markets to anticipate higher interest rates (stronger dollar) in the second have of this year. If that happens, <b>what happens to First Spouse sales?</b> </p><p> </p><p>I think that if PM prices have a slow, steady decline heading into November...FS sales will become stagnant...with most of the available money going towards the Buchanan and Lincoln coins. This should bode well for the coins <b>Elaine predicts will be the true KEYs of the series. :hail:</b>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 835452, member: 18157"]I appreciate the kind words! :high5: Back in September 2009, I made an [URL="http://www.cointalk.com/t44495-20/#post686257"]Anna Harrision final Unc prediction [/URL]on one of [B]Elaine's[/B] threads...it was for a final mintage of 3600-3800. We may just make the low end of that prediction. I think I made a Proof and Unc prediction somewhere, but I can't find it. :confused: New prediction...(goes along with [B]Elaine's[/B] predictions, but gives some "reasons why")... Some have predicted that falling gold prices will cause sales to increase. That might be true if they are just short pull backs and prices rebound. However, if we see a sustained downtrend in PM prices, folks might not want to buy until prices stabilize (no sense trying to catch a falling knife!). If you look at gold charts for the years of mid-term elections, nearly all of them show a rather steady downtrend in prices beginning 2-6 months prior to the election. 2002 was an exception...but it moved sideways and PM prices were at an all-time low. Since we're at all time highs for PM prices, we're printing money like nobody's business, and the GOP will likely pick up Congressional seats this Fall, it's "likely" (not for sure, but likely) we may see a gentle, sustained decline in PM prices beginning in late Summer, early Fall. My "theory" is that the markets suspect interest rates are held low to create the "illusion" of a good economy going into elections (regardless of who's in power). The markets will "anticipate" a corrective rise in interest rates (stronger dollar, weaker PM prices) after the election. I know there are many folks out there that disagree with what I just said and they may be right. Hey! if I was right all the time, I would be on a yacht somewhere instead on CT! :goof: I'm just saying...the "probability" (imho) is for the markets to anticipate higher interest rates (stronger dollar) in the second have of this year. If that happens, [B]what happens to First Spouse sales?[/B] I think that if PM prices have a slow, steady decline heading into November...FS sales will become stagnant...with most of the available money going towards the Buchanan and Lincoln coins. This should bode well for the coins [B]Elaine predicts will be the true KEYs of the series. :hail:[/B][/QUOTE]
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