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<p>[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1723907, member: 41780"]I wouldn't be too optimistic in the long term and here's why. In 2000, the dot-com bubble blew up. In 2008, the real-estate bubble blew up. What they both have in common is over-leverage and low interest rates that enabled the bubbles. Today, the Fed lowers interest rates to stimulate the economy. So, arguably, the Fed has run out of tools to keep the economy afloat as more Baby Boomers retire and swell Medicare and Social Security obligations. However, it may take <i>years</i> for this system to crash. I think the doom-and-gloomers (myself included) are starting to come to terms with the fact that a hobbling system such as the one we have can stay functioning for longer than many expect. This isn't the 1950s and '60s anymore. So perhaps the militarism of the U.S. has something to do with the realization by the elites that extraordinary measures are needed to keep the American engine running.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1723907, member: 41780"]I wouldn't be too optimistic in the long term and here's why. In 2000, the dot-com bubble blew up. In 2008, the real-estate bubble blew up. What they both have in common is over-leverage and low interest rates that enabled the bubbles. Today, the Fed lowers interest rates to stimulate the economy. So, arguably, the Fed has run out of tools to keep the economy afloat as more Baby Boomers retire and swell Medicare and Social Security obligations. However, it may take [I]years[/I] for this system to crash. I think the doom-and-gloomers (myself included) are starting to come to terms with the fact that a hobbling system such as the one we have can stay functioning for longer than many expect. This isn't the 1950s and '60s anymore. So perhaps the militarism of the U.S. has something to do with the realization by the elites that extraordinary measures are needed to keep the American engine running.[/QUOTE]
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