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<p>[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1644289, member: 41780"]Well, at least we found some common ground. :smile</p><p><br /></p><p>My point, which you agree with though grudgingly, is that we are living in bizarre economic times in which the laws of mathematics are thrown out the window. The fiat paper scheme, which the fiat bulls appear to support, is obviously not backed by math or logic -- the Fed just prints trillions of dollars, and journalists speculate on the creation of a trillion dollar platinum coin. </p><p><br /></p><p>So, in this environment, anything can happen. Silver may not reach $500 per ounce, though I think it will as all of this printed money seeks new sources of perceived growth.</p><p><br /></p><p>As for my knowledge of economics? I write about economics and get paid for it weekly, so while I'm not a guru, I can probably hold my own on economics issues compared to most nickel- and copper-hoarders. </p><p><br /></p><p>Notably, I recently heard that the marginal cost of silver production is actually $30 per ounce, which implies the current price is below it. Either way, with the declining quality of mines and with the rising cost of fuel (this year is predicted to be the second-highest year ever), the marginal cost of silver production is bound to rise significantly over the next decade or two. So bear in mind that this cost is a moving target, and the market adapts to future expectations.</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, I'm not God, and neither is anyone in this forum, so we'll just have to wait and see over the next few years how silver and gold perform. I think most agree they will be significantly higher -- and yes, that implies many of today's numismatic coins will get melted. There will be a frenzy of melting. I expect there will be numismatic blowback! <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie7" alt=":p" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="jolumoga, post: 1644289, member: 41780"]Well, at least we found some common ground. :smile My point, which you agree with though grudgingly, is that we are living in bizarre economic times in which the laws of mathematics are thrown out the window. The fiat paper scheme, which the fiat bulls appear to support, is obviously not backed by math or logic -- the Fed just prints trillions of dollars, and journalists speculate on the creation of a trillion dollar platinum coin. So, in this environment, anything can happen. Silver may not reach $500 per ounce, though I think it will as all of this printed money seeks new sources of perceived growth. As for my knowledge of economics? I write about economics and get paid for it weekly, so while I'm not a guru, I can probably hold my own on economics issues compared to most nickel- and copper-hoarders. Notably, I recently heard that the marginal cost of silver production is actually $30 per ounce, which implies the current price is below it. Either way, with the declining quality of mines and with the rising cost of fuel (this year is predicted to be the second-highest year ever), the marginal cost of silver production is bound to rise significantly over the next decade or two. So bear in mind that this cost is a moving target, and the market adapts to future expectations. Anyway, I'm not God, and neither is anyone in this forum, so we'll just have to wait and see over the next few years how silver and gold perform. I think most agree they will be significantly higher -- and yes, that implies many of today's numismatic coins will get melted. There will be a frenzy of melting. I expect there will be numismatic blowback! :p[/QUOTE]
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