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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1293295, member: 26302"]Good questions Cloud. The one thing I would caution NOS about is getting hung up with nominal values. They can mess with your head, since humans are preprogrammed to lock in numbers in their head. </p><p><br /></p><p>What I am talking about, (I am sure most of you are wondering), is humans tend to "learn" what something is worth, and that number simply sticks. If you started buying silver 9 years ago or so you "learned" $9 was a fair price, and built your world view around that. I was guilty of it, buying all of mine around $4 and believing that was, while a good price, not unusual.</p><p><br /></p><p>The extreme danger of talking about what silver "should" be worth is that the number has to go up every year. We are not programmed to do that in our head, but its true. If we talk about $4 in 1992, well that was 20 years of inflation ago. Talking about $9 in 2002 was 10 years of inflation ago. This is not even getting to market manipulation, bank sales, increased demand, etc. Even if a person believed $9 was a fair value for silver 10 years ago, he would need to adjust that for inflation to even BEGIN to discuss what is fair today under current markets. Under such a scenario, even assuming 5% inflation, (I think that understates true inflation), your $9 is now $14.66 today. </p><p><br /></p><p>Don't know how much sense that makes, but there it is.</p><p><br /></p><p>Chris[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1293295, member: 26302"]Good questions Cloud. The one thing I would caution NOS about is getting hung up with nominal values. They can mess with your head, since humans are preprogrammed to lock in numbers in their head. What I am talking about, (I am sure most of you are wondering), is humans tend to "learn" what something is worth, and that number simply sticks. If you started buying silver 9 years ago or so you "learned" $9 was a fair price, and built your world view around that. I was guilty of it, buying all of mine around $4 and believing that was, while a good price, not unusual. The extreme danger of talking about what silver "should" be worth is that the number has to go up every year. We are not programmed to do that in our head, but its true. If we talk about $4 in 1992, well that was 20 years of inflation ago. Talking about $9 in 2002 was 10 years of inflation ago. This is not even getting to market manipulation, bank sales, increased demand, etc. Even if a person believed $9 was a fair value for silver 10 years ago, he would need to adjust that for inflation to even BEGIN to discuss what is fair today under current markets. Under such a scenario, even assuming 5% inflation, (I think that understates true inflation), your $9 is now $14.66 today. Don't know how much sense that makes, but there it is. Chris[/QUOTE]
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