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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;treehugger, post: 1294030, member: 28451&quot;]Obviously no one knows what is going to happen for sure, but we do know those who don&#039;t know their history are doomed to repeat it.&nbsp;&nbsp; There have been examples in the mint releases of many countries where there was a supposed &quot;hot&quot; item that lost its &quot;hotness&quot; for a time or maybe even longer.&nbsp;&nbsp; The 2 most recent examples are the Perth Mint 2012 dragon (1 ounce BU and proof) and the 2010 ATB 5-ouncers.&nbsp;&nbsp; In both cases, the pattern was:&nbsp; low mintage, high demand, excessive hype, crazy prices, decreasing prices.&nbsp;&nbsp; The 2011 Anniversary Set is exhibiting the same pattern.&nbsp;&nbsp; You might say, &quot;This time it&#039;s different&quot;, but it&#039;s not; it hardly ever is; it&#039;s just wishful thinking on our part.</p><p><br /></p><p>I think if you look at the history of this sort of thing objectively, you can&#039;t help but believe, after the initial swell, the prices will decline for a short or long while.&nbsp;&nbsp; They may eventually pick up in the future, but for a person who wants to acquire a set without spending ridiculous money and doesn&#039;t have to have it tomorrow, he/she would do well by being patient and letting the dust settle.&nbsp;&nbsp; This been the case with the past 2 examples I mentioned above.&nbsp;&nbsp; Regardless of whatever reasons we want to attribule to it being &quot;different&quot; this time, the probability is high history will once again repeat itself.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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