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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1371539, member: 6492"]Howdy all,</p><p><br /></p><p>I concur with Clint. The gold/silver ratio, while dissed by some, is still followed by enough that it matters. I've been following it for years and while it's sitting at 51-1, it was up near 90 - 1 a few years back and historical ratios are between 20 and 15 -1. Geez, at peak in 1980, it was 17 - 1. It may never get back that low again, but I think a 50 - 1 ratio is much closer to equilibrium than not.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now, will gold and silver crash? I can't see either. Since 2001 and the start of this bull run, every time gold has corrected, it has been both less severe AND for a shorter duration, than everyone predicted including the charts and technical analysis. It's like there is some huge support out there that always steps in and starts buying when 'it goes on sale'. I trace this to the breadth of the demand for gold (and in some of these cases silver as a poor man's gold) that we've seen from all over the world. Cripes, you have the institutional investors adding gold to their portfolios to help dampen down the volatility of the market; you have momentum investors climbing on the trend; you have various sovereign CB's bolstering their national reserves and/or diversifying their treasury away from greenbacks [how many dollars do you want to hold as a trading partner before you want something else]; the chinese citizenry now being allowed to own gold, india, survivalists, individual investors wanting a store of value, or perhaps a security blanket, if you will. This is what I mean by breadth of demand and it continually serves as a floor below the POG. Silver is touted as exclusively an industrial metal reacting to the world economic situation. That's true. Ah, but to some, it's also a poor man's substitute for gold. And to others, it's a speculation type play. </p><p><br /></p><p>I could see silver going to 25 but not staying and not for long. And I really don't care what the POS does. I just bought a roll of ASEs for 718 but remember buying a roll (also from Paul Sims) for 90 (both prices include S&H). </p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1371539, member: 6492"]Howdy all, I concur with Clint. The gold/silver ratio, while dissed by some, is still followed by enough that it matters. I've been following it for years and while it's sitting at 51-1, it was up near 90 - 1 a few years back and historical ratios are between 20 and 15 -1. Geez, at peak in 1980, it was 17 - 1. It may never get back that low again, but I think a 50 - 1 ratio is much closer to equilibrium than not. Now, will gold and silver crash? I can't see either. Since 2001 and the start of this bull run, every time gold has corrected, it has been both less severe AND for a shorter duration, than everyone predicted including the charts and technical analysis. It's like there is some huge support out there that always steps in and starts buying when 'it goes on sale'. I trace this to the breadth of the demand for gold (and in some of these cases silver as a poor man's gold) that we've seen from all over the world. Cripes, you have the institutional investors adding gold to their portfolios to help dampen down the volatility of the market; you have momentum investors climbing on the trend; you have various sovereign CB's bolstering their national reserves and/or diversifying their treasury away from greenbacks [how many dollars do you want to hold as a trading partner before you want something else]; the chinese citizenry now being allowed to own gold, india, survivalists, individual investors wanting a store of value, or perhaps a security blanket, if you will. This is what I mean by breadth of demand and it continually serves as a floor below the POG. Silver is touted as exclusively an industrial metal reacting to the world economic situation. That's true. Ah, but to some, it's also a poor man's substitute for gold. And to others, it's a speculation type play. I could see silver going to 25 but not staying and not for long. And I really don't care what the POS does. I just bought a roll of ASEs for 718 but remember buying a roll (also from Paul Sims) for 90 (both prices include S&H). peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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