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<p>[QUOTE="treehugger, post: 1359202, member: 28451"]I won't be as eloquent as a number of the posters in this thread. The basic problem with predictions is they are an empty waste of time. They are, basically, a bet with no consequence. If an expert makes a prediction and is wrong, so what? Nobody expected him/her to be right anyway. So, what happens? They continue to make predictions that end up being wrong.</p><p><br /></p><p>I would propose we should make the prediction game more interesting by attaching a consequence to a person's prediction. If you are wrong, you donate $1,000.00 to the American Cancer Society, Shriner's Hospital, etc. Or, we could make it even more interesting. If you are wrong, you lose a kidney (or some other body part.) Maybe then these jackasses will go away. It seems pretty simple to me: </p><p><br /></p><p>1. A prediction is about a future event.</p><p><br /></p><p>2. There is no person alive we know of that can consistently predict the future.</p><p><br /></p><p>3. Conclusion: Predictions are a waste of time and are meaningless.</p><p><br /></p><p>4. Nevertheless, humans are basically not that bright and continue to pay attention to predictions anyway.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="treehugger, post: 1359202, member: 28451"]I won't be as eloquent as a number of the posters in this thread. The basic problem with predictions is they are an empty waste of time. They are, basically, a bet with no consequence. If an expert makes a prediction and is wrong, so what? Nobody expected him/her to be right anyway. So, what happens? They continue to make predictions that end up being wrong. I would propose we should make the prediction game more interesting by attaching a consequence to a person's prediction. If you are wrong, you donate $1,000.00 to the American Cancer Society, Shriner's Hospital, etc. Or, we could make it even more interesting. If you are wrong, you lose a kidney (or some other body part.) Maybe then these jackasses will go away. It seems pretty simple to me: 1. A prediction is about a future event. 2. There is no person alive we know of that can consistently predict the future. 3. Conclusion: Predictions are a waste of time and are meaningless. 4. Nevertheless, humans are basically not that bright and continue to pay attention to predictions anyway.[/QUOTE]
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