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<p>[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1155759, member: 30033"]Actually you're wrong, that's a myth. Almost nobody makes money over long periods of time. It's all made (or lost) at market tops and bottoms. If you buy at the wrong time, you can go decades without ever recouping your investment. Most people only identify trends when they've just about exhausted themselves, which is why almost nobody is in precious metals yet. When the "mania" hits (i.e. when the general public identifies the trend), that's when you get out, not when you get in. Warren Buffet has warned, "You pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus." You buy when there's blood in the streets, as Baron Rothschild pointed out.</p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>The dollar is decreasing in value because of government borrowing and central bank printing, not because of imports or exports. Exports are going up because our products are on sale. Nobody makes money by increasing output at fire-sale prices! It just means our import costs are going up! And it's going to get much much worse as China stops devaluing their currency to match the Fed, which they are sure to do given their very high levels of inflation. Since virtually everything we buy was made in China, get ready for prices to skyrocket! Oh, this is good for domestic production, you say. Only marginally. Not nearly enough to offset the massive pain soon to be inflicted upon American consumers.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1155759, member: 30033"]Actually you're wrong, that's a myth. Almost nobody makes money over long periods of time. It's all made (or lost) at market tops and bottoms. If you buy at the wrong time, you can go decades without ever recouping your investment. Most people only identify trends when they've just about exhausted themselves, which is why almost nobody is in precious metals yet. When the "mania" hits (i.e. when the general public identifies the trend), that's when you get out, not when you get in. Warren Buffet has warned, "You pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus." You buy when there's blood in the streets, as Baron Rothschild pointed out. The dollar is decreasing in value because of government borrowing and central bank printing, not because of imports or exports. Exports are going up because our products are on sale. Nobody makes money by increasing output at fire-sale prices! It just means our import costs are going up! And it's going to get much much worse as China stops devaluing their currency to match the Fed, which they are sure to do given their very high levels of inflation. Since virtually everything we buy was made in China, get ready for prices to skyrocket! Oh, this is good for domestic production, you say. Only marginally. Not nearly enough to offset the massive pain soon to be inflicted upon American consumers.[/QUOTE]
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