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<p>[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1140977, member: 30033"]Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. Inflation is an increase in the money supply relative to the goods and services it can purchase. It's conceivable that inflation could be caused by a contraction of the supply of goods and services, but that is almost never the case and is always temporary (e.g. a drought causes the supply of wheat to shrink). Printing of fiat money is almost always the case and is almost never temporary because everybody is very careful not to destroy money. In the cases where credit has been given monetary status during a bubble and the bubble implodes, destroying credit (which seemed like money), the government inevitably monetizes the credit.</p><p><br /></p><p>What do you think caused the inflation of the 1970s? It was our removal of gold backing from the Dollar of course. Actually, it preceded that slightly, since the money printing went back to Johnson's Great Society and Vietnam War, and convertibility only ended when France called for redemption in gold the currency they held far in excess of gold reserves. So the monetary base expanded significantly, we removed all pretense that it was grounded by gold backing, and then it lost a great deal of its value on the open market. That was the root cause of the 1970s inflation.</p><p><br /></p><p>What changed in the '80s and '90s was that the U.S. government used the military to impose a system of petrodollar hegemony, essentially backing the Dollar with Middle Eastern oil. That's why our military has taken up permanent residence over there. But that broke down when the Euro gained traction as an alternative currency, Saudi freedom fighters attacked us, and Saddam decided to stop denominating oil sales in dollars. The last straw was when the central banks ran out of gold to sell on the open market to suppress the price. Britain dishoarded the last of theirs at the very bottom trying to defend the fiat currency. Since that time, circa 2001, fiat currencies worldwide, but especially the Dollar, have been falling rapidly relative to commodities and especially gold. It's not that they suddenly lost value, but that they've been continuously printed for several decades and the charade propping up their *apparent* value broke down. You could no longer reliably buy oil with dollars and the huge supply of gold from the central banks stopped flowing, contracting the supply. The result is far more money in circulation versus the goods and services it can buy -- that's inflation.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Well since the founding of our nation til the founding of the Federal Reserve, we had a very mild deflation. The Dollar gained somewhere between 5-10% value in that 120 or so years. And that's the natural way of things when you have a stable currency. Over time, technological progress and productivity improvements make everything less expensive because the supply of products and services increases relative to the supply of money. That's a good thing. Everyone loves that computers and home electronics get cheaper every year due to rapid technological progress and production efficiencies. That particular sector is gaining in efficiency even faster than the Fed prints money. But if we had a stable currency, then every sector would tend to get less expensive over time. Constant inflation is not a normal state of a free market economy, but only with fiat currency.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>The world goes on, but life doesn't necessarily go on for everyone. Hyperinflations kill millions.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1140977, member: 30033"]Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. Inflation is an increase in the money supply relative to the goods and services it can purchase. It's conceivable that inflation could be caused by a contraction of the supply of goods and services, but that is almost never the case and is always temporary (e.g. a drought causes the supply of wheat to shrink). Printing of fiat money is almost always the case and is almost never temporary because everybody is very careful not to destroy money. In the cases where credit has been given monetary status during a bubble and the bubble implodes, destroying credit (which seemed like money), the government inevitably monetizes the credit. What do you think caused the inflation of the 1970s? It was our removal of gold backing from the Dollar of course. Actually, it preceded that slightly, since the money printing went back to Johnson's Great Society and Vietnam War, and convertibility only ended when France called for redemption in gold the currency they held far in excess of gold reserves. So the monetary base expanded significantly, we removed all pretense that it was grounded by gold backing, and then it lost a great deal of its value on the open market. That was the root cause of the 1970s inflation. What changed in the '80s and '90s was that the U.S. government used the military to impose a system of petrodollar hegemony, essentially backing the Dollar with Middle Eastern oil. That's why our military has taken up permanent residence over there. But that broke down when the Euro gained traction as an alternative currency, Saudi freedom fighters attacked us, and Saddam decided to stop denominating oil sales in dollars. The last straw was when the central banks ran out of gold to sell on the open market to suppress the price. Britain dishoarded the last of theirs at the very bottom trying to defend the fiat currency. Since that time, circa 2001, fiat currencies worldwide, but especially the Dollar, have been falling rapidly relative to commodities and especially gold. It's not that they suddenly lost value, but that they've been continuously printed for several decades and the charade propping up their *apparent* value broke down. You could no longer reliably buy oil with dollars and the huge supply of gold from the central banks stopped flowing, contracting the supply. The result is far more money in circulation versus the goods and services it can buy -- that's inflation. Well since the founding of our nation til the founding of the Federal Reserve, we had a very mild deflation. The Dollar gained somewhere between 5-10% value in that 120 or so years. And that's the natural way of things when you have a stable currency. Over time, technological progress and productivity improvements make everything less expensive because the supply of products and services increases relative to the supply of money. That's a good thing. Everyone loves that computers and home electronics get cheaper every year due to rapid technological progress and production efficiencies. That particular sector is gaining in efficiency even faster than the Fed prints money. But if we had a stable currency, then every sector would tend to get less expensive over time. Constant inflation is not a normal state of a free market economy, but only with fiat currency. The world goes on, but life doesn't necessarily go on for everyone. Hyperinflations kill millions.[/QUOTE]
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