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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Bluesboy65, post: 1139365, member: 23329&quot;]A couple of oberservations.&nbsp; On point #3, China has been working with Russia to move away from the dollar in cross border trade.&nbsp; Both China and the US have been screwing each other by devaluing their currency and both complain about each other as if each are innocent.&nbsp; China has the largest population on the planet, the greatest potential for economic growth and are working very diligently to position themselves as the #1 economic superpower.&nbsp; China also has problems but it would be at our peril to under estimate their ability to change the landscape.</p><p><br /></p><p>#8: February budget deficit is the latest reference point.&nbsp; I think the official forecast is for $1.6 trillion in deficit spending this year and these numbers keep getting revised to the upside.&nbsp; Given the latest month&#039;s data and the unwillingness/inability to reign in spending I presonally think the prospect for continuing increases in deficit spending is likely.&nbsp; Or at least &quot;possible&quot; even if you are dove(ish) in your outlook.&nbsp; What points in time would you prefer to use in your version of the analysis?</p><p><br /></p><p>Bluesboy65[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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