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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 361727, member: 68"]In all probability the cent is accurately graded. This is not because I have any more confidence in third party graders than you do but because '79 cents are fairly easy to grade in high grade. For this date there is a little correlation between being well made and mark free. I've always suspected that this correlation is the result of the simple odds of having each individual involved in its production doing his job properly and to standard. Obviously for a coin to be ultra high grade there has to be a little blind luck involved as well. </p><p><br /></p><p>If this were, say, a 1970-S nickel in MS-65 FS I'd have a little less confidence in it being graded properly because the correlation between strike and quality breaks down badly on this date. Also there's a tendency for the very nicest full steps of these to be MS-66 rather than MS-65. </p><p><br /></p><p>There is grade inflation but this is caused by market forces. As more people demand more coins it naturally requires less quality to make the grade. The market tells the graders that they are grading too tight so they tend to continually loosen. And yes, people can, and no doubt will, get burned on this when demand turns lower. This will affect coins across the board though, not only 1979 cents. As is typical, collectors will probably come through this much better than investors. </p><p><br /></p><p>No matter what the real grade of this cent, the simple fact is that if it's among the best now then it will be among the best in five or fifty years. If you can't tell on your own that it's a good value or have someone whom you trust to advise you then it might not be a good idea to pay $180 for it. Personally I believe there's huge potential for many moderns. Where some that are scarce in MS-67 will be quite common in MS-66 that is not true for all of them. This very coin is only about two or three times as common in MS-66 which still makes it much scarcer than most coins that cost $180.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 361727, member: 68"]In all probability the cent is accurately graded. This is not because I have any more confidence in third party graders than you do but because '79 cents are fairly easy to grade in high grade. For this date there is a little correlation between being well made and mark free. I've always suspected that this correlation is the result of the simple odds of having each individual involved in its production doing his job properly and to standard. Obviously for a coin to be ultra high grade there has to be a little blind luck involved as well. If this were, say, a 1970-S nickel in MS-65 FS I'd have a little less confidence in it being graded properly because the correlation between strike and quality breaks down badly on this date. Also there's a tendency for the very nicest full steps of these to be MS-66 rather than MS-65. There is grade inflation but this is caused by market forces. As more people demand more coins it naturally requires less quality to make the grade. The market tells the graders that they are grading too tight so they tend to continually loosen. And yes, people can, and no doubt will, get burned on this when demand turns lower. This will affect coins across the board though, not only 1979 cents. As is typical, collectors will probably come through this much better than investors. No matter what the real grade of this cent, the simple fact is that if it's among the best now then it will be among the best in five or fifty years. If you can't tell on your own that it's a good value or have someone whom you trust to advise you then it might not be a good idea to pay $180 for it. Personally I believe there's huge potential for many moderns. Where some that are scarce in MS-67 will be quite common in MS-66 that is not true for all of them. This very coin is only about two or three times as common in MS-66 which still makes it much scarcer than most coins that cost $180.[/QUOTE]
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