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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;NorthKorea, post: 2513858, member: 29643&quot;]The question simplifies to, would I crack out a 1906-D $10 Eagle graded MS64 that has an 85% chance of being upgraded to MS65.</p><p><br /></p><p>So, the question is, would I bet $120 (Express plus shipping both ways) for an 85% chance to win $5750? Yes, I would. I&#039;d keep making that bet on a diminishing argument, as well. Basically, if you crack/subbed it four times, that would give you a 99.95% chance of getting back an MS65 coin.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now, if you asked a different question of whether I believe that coin has an 85% chance of bumping to MS65, then the answer is no.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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