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With rising unemployment when will coin market crash?
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<p>[QUOTE="calcol, post: 4509575, member: 77639"]If the recession is significantly worse than 2008, good chance mid-priced coins will decline in value. It will take a while for folks who are getting government support checks, like covid-19 relief and unemployment, to exhaust that source of income and for them to exhaust their savings. This may be extended by additional funds provided by the US government. But even with the good standing of the US Treasury and Fed, there is a limit to how much they can borrow to distribute to the citizenry. Eventually, the unemployed will face the prospect of losing their houses, cars, etc.. They can postpone this for a while by selling non-essential tangible property like jewelry, bullion, second car, coins, etc.</p><p><br /></p><p>By mid-priced coins, I mean ones that are valued significantly above melt value but are not in the mid-five-figure and up category. PM coins will have their melt floor, which might even go up for a while. The really expensive coins are bought by folks with lots of moolah, and most of them will be able to keep their collection and add to it. It's folks who have bought coins for a few hundred bucks to low five-figures that will be faced with losing their house or selling the collection. When that happens, increased supply will diminish price.</p><p><br /></p><p>It's sad, but a lot of folks will have to decide whether to sell the collection, which they love and into which they have put so much work, or lose their house. Even sadder, they eventually may lose both. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie3" alt=":(" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>Cal[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="calcol, post: 4509575, member: 77639"]If the recession is significantly worse than 2008, good chance mid-priced coins will decline in value. It will take a while for folks who are getting government support checks, like covid-19 relief and unemployment, to exhaust that source of income and for them to exhaust their savings. This may be extended by additional funds provided by the US government. But even with the good standing of the US Treasury and Fed, there is a limit to how much they can borrow to distribute to the citizenry. Eventually, the unemployed will face the prospect of losing their houses, cars, etc.. They can postpone this for a while by selling non-essential tangible property like jewelry, bullion, second car, coins, etc. By mid-priced coins, I mean ones that are valued significantly above melt value but are not in the mid-five-figure and up category. PM coins will have their melt floor, which might even go up for a while. The really expensive coins are bought by folks with lots of moolah, and most of them will be able to keep their collection and add to it. It's folks who have bought coins for a few hundred bucks to low five-figures that will be faced with losing their house or selling the collection. When that happens, increased supply will diminish price. It's sad, but a lot of folks will have to decide whether to sell the collection, which they love and into which they have put so much work, or lose their house. Even sadder, they eventually may lose both. :( Cal[/QUOTE]
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With rising unemployment when will coin market crash?
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