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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Juan Blanco, post: 1622157, member: 41665&quot;]If it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, we&#039;re right to assume it&#039;s duck ...unless proven otherwise. </p><p><br /></p><p>In no market I&#039;ve seen is the &#039;Age Cohort&#039; of real buyers a more closely guarded industry secret. For people so engaged in numbers/valuations, the silence is deafening. The coin lobby seems <i>terrified </i>the truth will escape. Ya, the appearance is of a deeply-rooted geriatric trend - <i>ten years ahead</i> of Harley-Davidson demographics. Fluffy suggestions that State Quarter jar-gals are going to fill-the-void or pick up the slack (much less, begin collecting/purchasing overpriced US coins) is risible, delusional. It&#039;s time to face reality and crunch the numbers.</p><p><br /></p><p>David Bowers says the number of people attending trade shows is lower than it was 10 years ago, a <i>shrinking </i>demographic. Meanwhile, the US population has risen from 285m to 311m and San Diego&#039;s Comic-con - a <i>dynamic </i>alternative collectible mkt - has exploded from 53k &gt; 116k since 2001. But in 2012, attendance at <b>the 2012 FUN show was 35% lower than anticipated.</b> </p><p><br /></p><p>So watch F.U.N., it&#039;s a bellwether. Honestly, if you cannot get coin collectors to go to Florida in January, &#039;ya got a serious problem, Houston&#039;! </p><p><a href="http://www.coinweek.com/commentary/are-coin-shows-on-the-decline/" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.coinweek.com/commentary/are-coin-shows-on-the-decline/" rel="nofollow">http://www.coinweek.com/commentary/are-coin-shows-on-the-decline/</a></p><p><br /></p><p>FUN attendance in 2013: 10,200 individuals </p><p>FUN attendance in 2012: &quot;over 11,000&quot; individuals </p><p>FUN attendance in 2011: 9,600 individuals </p><p>FUN attendance in 2010: ? individuals </p><p>FUN attendance in 2009: 11,200 individuals</p><p>FUN attendance in 2008: over {13k?} individuals</p><p>FUN attendance in 2007: over 15,000 individuals</p><p>FUN attendance in 2006: over ? individuals</p><p><br /></p><p>The attendance at small local shows may have peaked ~1975 these annual stats might suggest, you&#039;d have to compare 5-10 other small regionals with longevity. <a href="http://www.coinarama.org/statistics.html" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.coinarama.org/statistics.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.coinarama.org/statistics.html</a></p><p>So how many nationally known coin shows have cancelled, like the ANA Fall Event, or radically scaled back in the past decade? TREND. It&#039;s right there: Dollars for the middle market in US coins will follow numbers (of collectors, passing on) down, down...</p><p><br /></p><p>Please show us numbers otherwise.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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